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Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
64¢
64% implied
NO Price
36¢
36% implied
Volume
$207.4K
5,625 trades
Smart Whales
418
of 1,160 traders · 11 on both sides

Gemini 4.0 released by...?

8 MARKETS · $625.8K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

228 YESvs201 NO
53%47%
53% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 72% YES by dollars · 194 YES vs 162 NO taking a side · 5 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 55%· net of hedges
+82 new YES$7.6K+85 new NO$8.7K
$5.2K of this was bought on both sides by the same 30 buyers — left out of momentum
27 smart whales20 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2.4K of $32.8K is hedged across different prices by 11 wallets. True directional: YES $22.0K·NO $8.4K
YES Team
Total Invested
$27.0K
Avg Win Rate
65.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$885(-3.3%)
Whales
228
C
Contentious-DinnerdateProven🥇
Entry 64¢·7,204.1 shares
$-135INV $4.6K · WR 56.0%
P
Parz1vaI🥈
Entry 68¢·5,049.9 shares
$-283INV $3.4K · WR 71.6%
H
hell0pia🥉
Entry 63¢·4,737 shares
$-17INV $3.0K · WR 58.8%
A
Agile-Catamaran
Entry 77¢·2,235 shares
$-333INV $1.7K · WR 83.3%
T
The-JokerProven
Entry 58¢·2,666.2 shares
+$164INV $1.5K · WR 70.0%
R
realchesta
Entry 56¢·2,338.2 shares
+$162INV $1.3K · WR 67.9%
K
kl1vhedged
Entry 73¢·1,610 shares·also $1.5K on NO
$-139INV $1.2K · WR 81.3%
A
AlphaGooo
Entry 80¢·1,428.4 shares
$-229INV $1.1K · WR 61.9%
W
willsom
Entry 60¢·1,200 shares
+$44INV $718 · WR 61.3%
J
JAMJAMJAM4
Entry 56¢·1,247 shares
+$80INV $699 · WR 55.0%
Showing top 10 of 228

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 53% YES: Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026