Geopolitics90 days left

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

YES Price
5ยข
5% implied
NO Price
95ยข
95% implied
Volume
$3.43M
41,793 trades
Smart Whales
480
of 11,218 traders ยท 7 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

195 YESvs292 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 17% YES by dollars ยท 79 YES vs 190 NO taking a side ยท 4 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%ยท net of hedges
+22 new YES$291+8 new NO$15.1K
$167 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers โ€” left out of momentum
3 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$57 of $119.7K is hedged across different prices by 7 wallets. True directional: YES $20.2KยทNO $99.4K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 40% YES: the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026