Geopolitics90 days left

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

YES Price
5ยข
5% implied
NO Price
95ยข
95% implied
Volume
$278.5K
2,591 trades
Smart Whales
118
of 754 traders ยท 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

41 YESvs78 NO
35%66%
66% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 21% YES by dollars ยท 7 YES vs 43 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 72%
+2 new YES$32+3 new NO$84
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$10 of $14.3K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $2.9KยทNO $11.3K
YES Team
Total Invested
$22.7K
Avg Win Rate
62.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$20.0K(-88.2%)
Whales
41

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 35% YES: the U.S. invade a Latin Americanโ€ฆ