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Geopolitics89 days left

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
91ยข
91% implied
NO Price
9ยข
9% implied
Volume
$332.8K
4,685 trades
Smart Whales
104
of 932 traders

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

8 MARKETS ยท $7.74M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

48 YESvs56 NO
46%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 33% YES by dollars ยท 17 YES vs 23 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 98%ยท net of hedges
+6 new YES$1.3K+12 new NO$35
$16 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers โ€” left out of momentum
2 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ€” all $11.9K is directional: YES $3.9KยทNO $8.0K
YES Team
Total Invested
$6.2K
Avg Win Rate
76.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.3K(+37.4%)
Whales
48
F
fElon๐Ÿฅ‡
Entry 88ยขยท2,636.3 shares
+$93INV $2.3K ยท WR 89.9%
S
studmuffin6969๐Ÿฅˆhedged
Entry 59ยขยท1,013.7 sharesยทalso $416 on NO
+$327INV $595 ยท WR 60.1%
O
Odysseus7๐Ÿฅ‰hedged
Entry 43ยขยท1,320.9 sharesยทalso $723 on NO
+$632INV $570 ยท WR 68.8%
Y
Y4n4pol
Entry 82ยขยท683.2 shares
+$64INV $561 ยท WR 70.3%
B
BikesarethebestProven
Entry 47ยขยท758 shares
+$337INV $356 ยท WR 56.1%
L
LosingEverything12312312323123Proven
Entry 64ยขยท397.9 shares
+$111INV $253 ยท WR 73.6%
1
12100K
Entry 71ยขยท234.2 shares
+$46INV $167 ยท WR 79.4%
S
SDODNDPD
Entry 58ยขยท200 shares
+$67INV $116 ยท WR 73.7%
C
ChetterHumminhedged
Entry 42ยขยท256.8 sharesยทalso $167 on NO
+$125INV $108 ยท WR 62.6%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 91ยขยท106.1 shares
+$1INV $96 ยท WR 68.6%
Showing top 10 of 48

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 46% YES: there be at least 5000 measles casesโ€ฆ