Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$51.4K
1,215 trades
Smart Whales
29
of 207 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
26 MARKETS · $684.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher←
100¢−30¢$51.4K21/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher←−30¢100¢
$51.4K21/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
36¢+19¢$66.3K11/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+19¢36¢
$66.3K11/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
16¢+36¢$41.0K13/12by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+36¢16¢
$41.0K13/12
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
14¢+31¢$8.6K5/6by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+31¢14¢
$8.6K5/6
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher
7¢+31¢$2.5K3/5by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher+31¢7¢
$2.5K3/5
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
72¢−43¢$36.1K4/10by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−43¢72¢
$36.1K4/10
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
41¢−8¢$34.5K3/6by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−8¢41¢
$34.5K3/6
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
16¢+37¢$15.9K8/7by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+37¢16¢
$15.9K8/7
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
9¢+31¢$12.9K4/6by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+31¢9¢
$12.9K4/6
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
7¢+13¢$5.3K1/4by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+13¢7¢
$5.3K1/4
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
64¢−10¢$61.0K13/11by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−10¢64¢
$61.0K13/11
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
43¢+7¢$37.7K8/8by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher+7¢43¢
$37.7K8/8
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
21¢+26¢$36.9K9/10by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+26¢21¢
$36.9K9/10
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
14¢+36¢$20.5K8/8by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+36¢14¢
$20.5K8/8
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
3¢+47¢$3.0K3/3by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+47¢3¢
$3.0K3/3
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
18¢+34¢$53.2K11/10by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+34¢18¢
$53.2K11/10
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
9¢+35¢$20.6K8/10by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+35¢9¢
$20.6K8/10
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
4¢+56¢$11.2K6/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+56¢4¢
$11.2K6/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
3¢+17¢$2.4K1/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+17¢3¢
$2.4K1/4
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
74¢−15¢$40.9K13/9by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−15¢74¢
$40.9K13/9
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
34¢+19¢$55.5K10/9by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+19¢34¢
$55.5K10/9
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
10¢+13¢$22.8K3/10by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+13¢10¢
$22.8K3/10
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
9¢+5¢$6.5K1/6by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+5¢9¢
$6.5K1/6
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
23¢+25¢$22.0K10/11by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+25¢23¢
$22.0K10/11
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
21 YESvs9 NO
70%30%
70% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$332 of $1.6K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1.2K·NO $6YES Team
Total Invested
$4.4K
Avg Win Rate
73.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.5K(+57.3%)
Whales
21
F
fountaim◆Proven🥇
Entry 61¢·2,107.4 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$816
+$816INV $1.3K · WR 84.1%
2
2Sherlock🥈
Entry 88¢·726.3 shares
Invested
$638
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $638 · WR 67.2%
A
Aragorn-II◆Proven🥉
Entry 85¢·500 shares
Invested
$423
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
+$77
+$77INV $423 · WR 77.5%
L
lamyk
Entry 88¢·406.1 shares
Invested
$356
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $356 · WR 57.4%
I
iutwpfalhedged
Entry 26¢·1,331.6 shares·also $154 on NO
Invested
$350
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
+$982
+$982INV $350 · WR 73.8%
S
shiwu666666hedged
Entry 44¢·779.6 shares·also $766 on NO
Invested
$345
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$434
+$434INV $345 · WR 60.0%
M
Meaty-Pseudoscience
Entry 50¢·400 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
80.3%
Position P&L
+$200
+$200INV $200 · WR 80.3%
S
SteviaDaddyhedged
Entry 83¢·200 shares·also $172 on NO
Invested
$166
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $166 · WR 56.7%
C
Computerdude111
Entry 88¢·175.8 shares
Invested
$155
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $155 · WR 79.3%
O
Olcan
Entry 188¢·76.9 shares
Invested
$144
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
$-67
$-67INV $144 · WR 76.8%
Showing top 10 of 21
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
61.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.1K(-84.0%)
Whales
9
S
shiwu666666🥇hedged
Entry 89¢·864.5 shares·also $345 on YES
Invested
$766
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-766
$-766INV $766 · WR 60.0%
S
SteviaDaddy🥈hedged
Entry 19¢·907.3 shares·also $166 on YES
Invested
$172
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $172 · WR 56.7%
I
iutwpfal🥉hedged
Entry 3¢·6,082.2 shares·also $350 on YES
Invested
$154
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
$-154
$-154INV $154 · WR 73.8%
B
BAO95889hedged
Entry 121¢·102.3 shares·also $37 on YES
Invested
$124
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-124
$-124INV $124 · WR 57.9%
5
0x57757783...
Entry 96¢·23.8 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $23 · WR 81.3%
L
Legacy.crypto
Entry 12¢·30 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 73.6%
Showing top 6 of 9
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