Tech/AI67 days left
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?
YES Price
55¢
55% implied
NO Price
45¢
45% implied
Volume
$66.2K
2,797 trades
Smart Whales
30
of 271 traders
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
27 MARKETS · $675.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
32¢+12¢$67.1K8/10by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+12¢32¢
$67.1K8/10
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
14¢+42¢$42.8K14/11by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+42¢14¢
$42.8K14/11
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
9¢+31¢$9.0K6/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+31¢9¢
$9.0K6/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher
6¢+27¢$2.5K3/6by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher+27¢6¢
$2.5K3/6
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
89¢−51¢$45.3K6/10by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−51¢89¢
$45.3K6/10
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
40¢−9¢$43.4K5/11by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−9¢40¢
$43.4K5/11
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
11¢+42¢$17.6K8/7by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+42¢11¢
$17.6K8/7
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
9¢+33¢$14.2K5/7by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+33¢9¢
$14.2K5/7
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
8¢+25¢$5.8K2/4by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+25¢8¢
$5.8K2/4
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher←
55¢−12¢$66.2K13/17by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher←−12¢55¢
$66.2K13/17
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
35¢+9¢$39.0K7/9by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher+9¢35¢
$39.0K7/9
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
20¢+30¢$37.3K8/8by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+30¢20¢
$37.3K8/8
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
17¢+27¢$21.0K7/9by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+27¢17¢
$21.0K7/9
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
5¢+28¢$3.1K2/4by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+28¢5¢
$3.1K2/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
7¢+43¢$53.2K10/10by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+43¢7¢
$53.2K10/10
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
7¢+38¢$20.7K9/11by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+38¢7¢
$20.7K9/11
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
6¢+54¢$11.2K6/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+54¢6¢
$11.2K6/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
6¢+14¢$2.6K1/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+14¢6¢
$2.6K1/4
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
74¢−10¢$42.0K14/8by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−10¢74¢
$42.0K14/8
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
26¢+27¢$56.3K10/9by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+27¢26¢
$56.3K10/9
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
4¢+21¢$27.8K3/9by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+21¢4¢
$27.8K3/9
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
3¢+5¢$7.6K1/12by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+5¢3¢
$7.6K1/12
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
28¢+19¢$22.8K9/10by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+19¢28¢
$22.8K9/10
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
6¢+44¢$11.2K6/6by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+44¢6¢
$11.2K6/6
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
4¢+39¢$4.6K3/4by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+39¢4¢
$4.6K3/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
13 YESvs17 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 20% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 79%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$149+13 new NO$249
$223 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $546 is directional: YES $108·NO $437YES Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
75.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$467(+30.2%)
Whales
13
O
Olcan🥇hedged
Entry 40¢·3,204.2 shares·also $4.6K on NO
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
76.5%
Position P&L
+$480
+$480INV $1.3K · WR 76.5%
C
Computerdude111🥈hedged
Entry 54¢·177.3 shares·also $219 on NO
Invested
$95
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $95 · WR 79.3%
B
BAO95889🥉
Entry 50¢·107.4 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $53 · WR 58.3%
C
capibhedged
Entry 77¢·50 shares·also $10 on NO
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $38 · WR 56.1%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 61¢·50 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $31 · WR 69.6%
V
viniihedged
Entry 118¢·23.3 shares·also $31 on NO
Invested
$27
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $27 · WR 65.8%
C
crastsa
Entry 79¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
76.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $16 · WR 76.7%
L
liukun
Entry 76¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $8 · WR 76.1%
W
wert4hedged
Entry 42¢·14.7 shares·also $12 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $6 · WR 65.2%
B
big-bird1
Entry 54¢·1.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 68.5%
Showing top 10 of 13
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.8K
Avg Win Rate
75.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.6K(-44.9%)
Whales
17
O
Olcan🥇hedged
Entry 94¢·4,873.1 shares·also $1.3K on YES
Invested
$4.6K
Win Rate
76.5%
Position P&L
$-2363
$-2363INV $4.6K · WR 76.5%
L
lamyk🥈
Entry 121¢·365.5 shares
Invested
$444
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-278
$-278INV $444 · WR 57.8%
S
Stonktrader◆Proven🥉
Entry 38¢·816.8 shares
Invested
$308
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $308 · WR 85.5%
C
Computerdude111hedged
Entry 111¢·197.3 shares·also $95 on YES
Invested
$219
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-129
$-129INV $219 · WR 79.3%
S
SteviaDaddy
Entry 34¢·219.8 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $75 · WR 56.7%
H
hitunfar
Entry 46¢·113.9 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $53 · WR 59.5%
I
iutwpfal
Entry 13¢·329.5 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
+$102
+$102INV $44 · WR 73.9%
V
viniihedged
Entry 147¢·21.3 shares·also $27 on YES
Invested
$31
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $31 · WR 65.8%
W
wert4hedged
Entry 83¢·14.7 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$12
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $12 · WR 65.2%
H
hithitfar
Entry 56¢·19 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $11 · WR 59.8%
Showing top 10 of 17
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