crastsa · Polymarket wallet 0x3b8b…a7c8

Wallet snapshot

crastsa has made 128 trades on Polymarket across 40 markets, $3,725 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (23%) and sports (18%). On 30 resolved markets the win rate is 76.7%, lifetime P&L -$55. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Xi Jinping out before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 22, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · $202 · 95¢ → 97¢
• Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes · $49 · 99¢ → 98¢
• Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes · $22 · 90¢ → 85¢
• Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes · $11 · 78¢ → 56¢
• Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes · $10 · 67¢ → 52¢

Latest closed positions

• Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes · -$52 · Oct 22, 2026
• Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$5 · Sep 11, 2026
• Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes · +$3 · Sep 11, 2026
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No · +$11 · Aug 12, 2026
• Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes · -$4 · Jun 18, 2026
• Will Phantom launch a token by June 30, 2026?No · +$4 · Jun 14, 2026
• Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.