Resolved60 days left
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$48.7K
1,447 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 231 traders
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
27 MARKETS · $705.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
35¢+23¢$71.7K11/8by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+23¢35¢
$71.7K11/8
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
21¢+33¢$44.9K13/11by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+33¢21¢
$44.9K13/11
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
10¢+30¢$9.8K6/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+30¢10¢
$9.8K6/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher
5¢+28¢$2.6K3/6by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher+28¢5¢
$2.6K3/6
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher←
100¢−50¢$48.7K10/10by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher←−50¢100¢
$48.7K10/10
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
22¢+9¢$46.4K5/11by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher+9¢22¢
$46.4K5/11
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
13¢+37¢$17.9K7/7by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+37¢13¢
$17.9K7/7
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
12¢+24¢$14.5K4/7by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+24¢12¢
$14.5K4/7
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
6¢+32¢$5.9K3/5by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+32¢6¢
$5.9K3/5
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
63¢−13¢$67.3K15/15by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−13¢63¢
$67.3K15/15
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
46¢+4¢$41.9K8/8by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher+4¢46¢
$41.9K8/8
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
20¢+30¢$38.1K8/8by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+30¢20¢
$38.1K8/8
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
14¢+24¢$22.8K6/10by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+24¢14¢
$22.8K6/10
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
5¢+28¢$3.1K2/4by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+28¢5¢
$3.1K2/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
18¢+27¢$54.3K9/11by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+27¢18¢
$54.3K9/11
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
14¢+33¢$21.0K9/10by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+33¢14¢
$21.0K9/10
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
5¢+62¢$11.6K8/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+62¢5¢
$11.6K8/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
6¢+7¢$3.1K1/7by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+7¢6¢
$3.1K1/7
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
79¢−18¢$42.2K14/9by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−18¢79¢
$42.2K14/9
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
32¢+18¢$56.8K9/9by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+18¢32¢
$56.8K9/9
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
6¢+19¢$28.3K3/9by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+19¢6¢
$28.3K3/9
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
3¢+5¢$7.7K1/11by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+5¢3¢
$7.7K1/11
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
66¢−19¢$25.4K9/10by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher−19¢66¢
$25.4K9/10
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
13¢+42¢$11.8K6/5by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+42¢13¢
$11.8K6/5
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
10¢+23¢$4.8K2/4by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+23¢10¢
$4.8K2/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs10 NO
52%48%
52% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 91% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $826 is directional: YES $754·NO $72YES Team
Total Invested
$2.3K
Avg Win Rate
78.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$295(+13.1%)
Whales
11
I
iutwpfal🥇hedged
Entry 105¢·820.1 shares·also $141 on NO
Invested
$863
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $863 · WR 73.9%
P
pragmat1sm🥈
Entry 84¢·889.4 shares
Invested
$745
Win Rate
82.1%
Position P&L
$-94
$-94INV $745 · WR 82.1%
O
Olcan🥉hedged
Entry 54¢·637.7 shares·also $248 on NO
Invested
$347
Win Rate
76.6%
Position P&L
+$290
+$290INV $347 · WR 76.6%
F
fountaim◆Proven
Entry 93¢·174.1 shares
Invested
$161
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $161 · WR 82.8%
5
0x54b7689d...
Entry 98¢·47.4 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $46 · WR 100.0%
O
ogi250
Entry 95¢·36.9 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $35 · WR 59.0%
C
Computerdude111hedged
Entry 24¢·131.5 shares·also $115 on NO
Invested
$32
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
+$99
+$99INV $32 · WR 80.0%
K
Kronk1hedged
Entry 29¢·32.5 shares·also $25 on NO
Invested
$9
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $9 · WR 57.9%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 74¢·6 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 68.6%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 49¢·8.1 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $4 · WR 68.8%
Showing top 10 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$874
Avg Win Rate
71.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$751(-85.8%)
Whales
10
O
Olcan🥇hedged
Entry 111¢·223.6 shares·also $347 on YES
Invested
$248
Win Rate
76.6%
Position P&L
$-248
$-248INV $248 · WR 76.6%
I
iutwpfal🥈hedged
Entry 10¢·1,399.6 shares·also $863 on YES
Invested
$141
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
$-141
$-141INV $141 · WR 73.9%
M
molodoyy◆Proven🥉
Entry 41¢·325.1 shares
Invested
$132
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-132
$-132INV $132 · WR 63.2%
V
vinii
Entry 32¢·395.7 shares
Invested
$127
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
$-127
$-127INV $127 · WR 66.5%
C
Computerdude111hedged
Entry 95¢·121.5 shares·also $32 on YES
Invested
$115
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
$-115
$-115INV $115 · WR 80.0%
S
SingletonFamilyFund
Entry 15¢·462 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
+$53
+$53INV $71 · WR 70.9%
K
Kronk1hedged
Entry 76¢·32.5 shares·also $9 on YES
Invested
$25
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $25 · WR 57.9%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 92¢·8.1 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$7
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 68.8%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 29¢·20 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 57.4%
B
BAO95889
Entry 33¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 58.7%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 515ms