pragmat1sm · Polymarket wallet 0x8841…c2d3

Wallet snapshot

pragmat1sm has made 872 trades on Polymarket across 46 markets, $35K in volume. Most of it is in tech (67%). On 28 resolved markets the win rate is 82.1%, lifetime P&L -$1,206. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 22, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?No · $360 · 42¢ → 82¢
• Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes · $88 · 40¢ → 8¢

Latest closed positions

• Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?Yes · +$56 · Nov 1, 2026
• Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?No · +$25 · Nov 1, 2026
• Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?No · +$590 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes · +$144 · Oct 27, 2026
• Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?No · -$1 · Oct 22, 2026
• Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 20, 2026
• Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 16, 2026?No · +$2 · Oct 17, 2026
• Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes · -$47 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes · -$76 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes · +$60 · Oct 14, 2026

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