60 days left
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
YES Price
20¢
20% implied
NO Price
80¢
80% implied
Volume
$46.3K
1,690 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 235 traders
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
26 MARKETS · $656.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
35¢+23¢$71.5K11/8by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+23¢35¢
$71.5K11/8
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
21¢+33¢$44.9K13/11by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+33¢21¢
$44.9K13/11
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
9¢+31¢$9.8K6/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+31¢9¢
$9.8K6/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher
5¢+28¢$2.6K3/6by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher+28¢5¢
$2.6K3/6
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher←
20¢+11¢$46.3K5/11by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher←+11¢20¢
$46.3K5/11
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
12¢+38¢$17.9K7/7by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+38¢12¢
$17.9K7/7
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
12¢+24¢$14.5K4/7by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+24¢12¢
$14.5K4/7
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
6¢+32¢$5.9K3/5by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+32¢6¢
$5.9K3/5
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
65¢−15¢$67.3K15/15by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−15¢65¢
$67.3K15/15
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
49¢+1¢$41.9K8/8by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher+1¢49¢
$41.9K8/8
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
22¢+28¢$38.1K8/8by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+28¢22¢
$38.1K8/8
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
14¢+24¢$22.8K6/10by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+24¢14¢
$22.8K6/10
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
5¢+28¢$3.1K2/4by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+28¢5¢
$3.1K2/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
16¢+29¢$54.3K9/11by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+29¢16¢
$54.3K9/11
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
16¢+31¢$21.0K9/10by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+31¢16¢
$21.0K9/10
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
5¢+62¢$11.6K8/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+62¢5¢
$11.6K8/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
5¢+8¢$3.1K1/7by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+8¢5¢
$3.1K1/7
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
78¢−17¢$42.2K14/9by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−17¢78¢
$42.2K14/9
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
33¢+17¢$56.8K9/9by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+17¢33¢
$56.8K9/9
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
6¢+19¢$28.3K3/9by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+19¢6¢
$28.3K3/9
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
3¢+5¢$7.7K1/11by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+5¢3¢
$7.7K1/11
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
64¢−17¢$25.4K9/10by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher−17¢64¢
$25.4K9/10
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
12¢+43¢$11.8K6/5by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+43¢12¢
$11.8K6/5
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
10¢+23¢$4.8K2/4by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+23¢10¢
$4.8K2/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs11 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 20% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 68%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$221+5 new NO$337
$243 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.0K is directional: YES $201·NO $799YES Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
60.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$972(-69.7%)
Whales
5
B
BAO95889🥇hedged
Entry 69¢·1,648.7 shares·also $907 on NO
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-815
$-815INV $1.1K · WR 58.5%
S
st0rm233🥈
Entry 49¢·400 shares
Invested
$196
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
$-116
$-116INV $196 · WR 66.2%
B
big-bird1🥉hedged
Entry 63¢·51.9 shares·also $27 on NO
Invested
$33
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $33 · WR 68.6%
I
iutwpfalhedged
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$25
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $25 · WR 73.9%
S
Simple-Volume
Entry 53¢·9.6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $5 · WR 71.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.9K
Avg Win Rate
61.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$744(+38.6%)
Whales
11
B
BAO95889🥇hedged
Entry 56¢·1,611.3 shares·also $1.1K on YES
Invested
$907
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$391
+$391INV $907 · WR 58.5%
L
lamyk🥈
Entry 53¢·829.3 shares
Invested
$438
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
+$226
+$226INV $438 · WR 58.0%
S
SingletonFamilyFund🥉
Entry 58¢·314.9 shares
Invested
$183
Win Rate
70.8%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $183 · WR 70.8%
M
molodoyy◆Proven
Entry 50¢·251.7 shares
Invested
$126
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
+$76
+$76INV $126 · WR 63.1%
N
NoTeacher
Entry 73¢·140 shares
Invested
$102
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $102 · WR 58.2%
I
iutwpfalhedged
Entry 180¢·50 shares·also $25 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $90 · WR 73.9%
O
Olcan
Entry 75¢·50 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
76.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $38 · WR 76.6%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 52¢·51.9 shares·also $33 on YES
Invested
$27
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $27 · WR 68.6%
P
parameter1
Entry 56¢·20 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
62.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $11 · WR 62.4%
N
Nonstop-Tailspin
Entry 76¢·4.1 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
78.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 78.9%
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