Geopolitics116 days left
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
11¢
11% implied
NO Price
89¢
89% implied
Volume
$40.2K
712 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 158 traders
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
20 MARKETS · $393.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs9 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 92% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+1 new YES$11+4 new NO$262
$21 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $82 is directional: YES $76·NO $6YES Team
Total Invested
$124
Avg Win Rate
62.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$36(-29.3%)
Whales
7
V
vinii🥇
Entry 11¢·552 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $59 · WR 65.5%
5
0x54498e4c...🥈hedged
Entry 68¢·29.7 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$20
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $20 · WR 55.5%
G
ghorrock🥉
Entry 12¢·141.6 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $17 · WR 57.8%
C
conkjhedged
Entry 61¢·17.1 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$10
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $10 · WR 55.2%
G
garbagecollect4hedged
Entry 92¢·11 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$10
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $10 · WR 69.5%
M
maomao228hedged
Entry 15¢·41.3 shares·also $79 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $6 · WR 63.8%
T
trrr12hedged
Entry 28¢·2 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 62.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$104
Avg Win Rate
63.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$103(+98.6%)
Whales
9
M
maomao228🥇hedged
Entry 86¢·91.3 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$79
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $79 · WR 63.8%
P
puravida🥈
Entry 62¢·8.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $5 · WR 60.6%
G
gtr33🥉
Entry 24¢·20 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $5 · WR 71.0%
D
dojimanoryuu
Entry 9¢·50 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $5 · WR 56.7%
G
garbagecollect4hedged
Entry 37¢·10 shares·also $10 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $4 · WR 69.5%
C
conkjhedged
Entry 13¢·20 shares·also $10 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $3 · WR 55.2%
5
0x54498e4c...hedged
Entry 6¢·29.7 shares·also $20 on YES
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $2 · WR 55.5%
T
trrr12hedged
Entry 72¢·2 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 62.5%
H
hspje89
Entry 90¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 80.1%
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