🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In
Geopolitics116 days left

Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
27¢
27% implied
NO Price
73¢
73% implied
Volume
$22.3K
475 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 113 traders · 1 on both sides

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

20 MARKETS · $393.4K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

8 YESvs3 NO
73%27%
73% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 82% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 1 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 85%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$282+7 new NO$942
$284 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $755 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $616·NO $137
YES Team
Total Invested
$623
Avg Win Rate
61.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$71(-11.4%)
Whales
8
C
Capital-Endoderm🥇
Entry 26¢·1,337.2 shares
+$0INV $354 · WR 61.2%
T
Toncar16🥈
Entry 48¢·216.8 shares
$-47INV $104 · WR 57.8%
V
vinii🥉
Entry 28¢·282.7 shares
$-4INV $79 · WR 65.5%
S
spacexstar
Entry 28¢·172.7 shares
$-2INV $48 · WR 66.7%
A
adasol
Entry 66¢·37.9 shares
$-15INV $25 · WR 67.6%
G
ghorrock
Entry 32¢·19 shares
$-1INV $6 · WR 57.8%
H
harelbendavidhedged
Entry 44¢·13.4 shares·also $4 on NO
$-2INV $6 · WR 56.7%
M
maomao228hedged
Entry 27¢·2.7 shares·also $1 on NO
$-0INV $1 · WR 63.8%

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 218ms