Tech/AI76 days left
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
YES Price
20¢
20% implied
NO Price
80¢
80% implied
Volume
$22.0K
776 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 143 traders
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
25 MARKETS · $630.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
39¢+14¢$66.1K10/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+14¢39¢
$66.1K10/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
16¢+36¢$41.0K13/12by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+36¢16¢
$41.0K13/12
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
14¢+28¢$8.6K5/7by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+28¢14¢
$8.6K5/7
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher
7¢+31¢$2.5K3/5by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher+31¢7¢
$2.5K3/5
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
78¢−49¢$35.9K4/10by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−49¢78¢
$35.9K4/10
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
39¢−6¢$34.4K3/6by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−6¢39¢
$34.4K3/6
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
11¢+42¢$15.7K9/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+42¢11¢
$15.7K9/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
9¢+31¢$12.9K4/6by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+31¢9¢
$12.9K4/6
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
9¢+34¢$5.0K3/4by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+34¢9¢
$5.0K3/4
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
63¢−6¢$60.3K13/10by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−6¢63¢
$60.3K13/10
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
42¢+11¢$37.7K10/9by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher+11¢42¢
$37.7K10/9
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
25¢+22¢$36.9K9/10by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+22¢25¢
$36.9K9/10
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
14¢+29¢$20.5K6/8by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+29¢14¢
$20.5K6/8
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
3¢+40¢$3.0K3/4by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+40¢3¢
$3.0K3/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
17¢+35¢$53.2K11/10by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+35¢17¢
$53.2K11/10
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
8¢+36¢$20.6K8/10by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+36¢8¢
$20.6K8/10
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
5¢+55¢$11.2K6/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+55¢5¢
$11.2K6/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
4¢+16¢$2.3K1/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+16¢4¢
$2.3K1/4
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
77¢−20¢$40.6K13/10by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−20¢77¢
$40.6K13/10
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
35¢+15¢$55.5K10/10by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+15¢35¢
$55.5K10/10
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
11¢+12¢$22.8K3/10by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+12¢11¢
$22.8K3/10
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
9¢+5¢$6.5K1/6by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+5¢9¢
$6.5K1/6
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher←
20¢+21¢$22.0K9/13by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher←+21¢20¢
$22.0K9/13
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs12 NO
46%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 25% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%
+1 new YES$4+4 new NO$280
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.5K is directional: YES $372·NO $1.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.0K
Avg Win Rate
73.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$561(-55.6%)
Whales
10
1
123f18🥇hedged
Entry 71¢·523.8 shares·also $236 on NO
Invested
$373
Win Rate
91.3%
Position P&L
$-271
$-271INV $373 · WR 91.3%
I
ilovehistamines🥈
Entry 29¢·1,195 shares
Invested
$344
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-75
$-75INV $344 · WR 63.6%
L
lamyk🥉hedged
Entry 71¢·137.8 shares·also $40 on NO
Invested
$99
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-72
$-72INV $99 · WR 57.2%
B
BAO95889hedged
Entry 175¢·55.7 shares·also $101 on NO
Invested
$98
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-87
$-87INV $98 · WR 57.7%
T
The-Joker◆Proven
Entry 76¢·39.9 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $30 · WR 70.0%
S
southparker
Entry 28¢·100 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $28 · WR 67.6%
C
Computerdude111hedged
Entry 152¢·13.7 shares·also $59 on NO
Invested
$21
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $21 · WR 79.3%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 77¢·17.5 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$14
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $14 · WR 68.6%
3
0x34a9e26a...
Entry 23¢·14.8 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 65.8%
S
SamsClub-VIP
Entry 26¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 62.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.8K
Avg Win Rate
76.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$798(+44.6%)
Whales
12
O
Olcan🥇
Entry 71¢·1,469.9 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
+$112
+$112INV $1.0K · WR 76.8%
1
123f18🥈hedged
Entry 33¢·708.8 shares·also $373 on YES
Invested
$236
Win Rate
91.3%
Position P&L
+$335
+$335INV $236 · WR 91.3%
I
iutwpfal🥉
Entry 42¢·370.4 shares
Invested
$156
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
+$142
+$142INV $156 · WR 73.8%
B
BAO95889hedged
Entry 28¢·357.1 shares·also $98 on YES
Invested
$101
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$186
+$186INV $101 · WR 57.7%
M
Majas
Entry 89¢·82.6 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $74 · WR 66.5%
C
Computerdude111hedged
Entry 428¢·13.7 shares·also $21 on YES
Invested
$59
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $59 · WR 79.3%
L
lamykhedged
Entry 35¢·114 shares·also $99 on YES
Invested
$40
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $40 · WR 57.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 44¢·45.2 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $20 · WR 72.1%
T
toomanyfent
Entry 79¢·24 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $19 · WR 58.8%
S
sludgelife
Entry 85¢·22 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $19 · WR 63.0%
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