Geopolitics231 days left

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?

YES Price
48¢
48% implied
NO Price
52¢
52% implied
Volume
$16.9K
317 trades
Smart Whales
28
of 105 traders

Smart Money Consensus

15 YESvs13 NO
54%46%
54% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 66% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 11 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 58%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$519+10 new NO$683
$180 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.1K is directional: YES $2.0K·NO $1.0K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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