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Geopolitics445 days left

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
67¢
67% implied
NO Price
33¢
33% implied
Volume
$48.1K
782 trades
Smart Whales
41
of 188 traders · 1 on both sides

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

15 MARKETS · $5.40M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

25 YESvs17 NO
60%41%
60% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 84% YES by dollars · 23 YES vs 13 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 60%· net of hedges
+13 new YES$1.1K+6 new NO$750
$65 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$4 of $21.2K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $17.8K·NO $3.4K
YES Team
Total Invested
$18.0K
Avg Win Rate
82.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$501(-2.8%)
Whales
25
T
tsybka🥇
Entry 69¢·18,397.5 shares
$-436INV $12.8K · WR 86.0%
N
newnewuser🥈
Entry 67¢·2,532.1 shares
+$5INV $1.7K · WR 61.7%
I
Ideal-Arch🥉
Entry 70¢·2,355.5 shares
$-71INV $1.6K · WR 91.1%
R
Runner109
Entry 69¢·1,100 shares
$-27INV $764 · WR 61.9%
K
KariSpice
Entry 67¢·500.3 shares
$-2INV $337 · WR 82.9%
J
Jet9
Entry 52¢·300 shares
+$45INV $156 · WR 67.2%
G
GeorgiiRach
Entry 68¢·192.8 shares
$-3INV $132 · WR 89.8%
P
Parz1vaI
Entry 68¢·162.3 shares
$-2INV $110 · WR 71.6%
S
siriosleban1
Entry 71¢·136.2 shares
$-5INV $97 · WR 80.4%
G
Geget44600
Entry 72¢·101 shares
$-5INV $72 · WR 77.8%
Showing top 10 of 25

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 60% YES: Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement…