zubr · Polymarket wallet 0xfa22…69a6

Wallet snapshot

zubr has made 350 trades on Polymarket across 123 markets, $13K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (97%). On 110 resolved markets the win rate is 73.6%, lifetime P&L +$554. It holds 12 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Sep 28, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No · $1,117 · 87¢ → 97¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No · $248 · 78¢ → 97¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No · $239 · 74¢ → 89¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No · $223 · 87¢ → 97¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No · $204 · 75¢ → 77¢
• Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No · $130 · 74¢ → 97¢
• Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?No · $60 · 62¢ → 75¢
• Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?No · $50 · 68¢ → 69¢
• Will Russia capture Myropillia by December 31?No · $41 · 60¢ → 82¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?No · $39 · 69¢ → 90¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes · -$12 · Aug 19, 2026
• Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No · +$11 · Aug 1, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No · +$25 · Jul 7, 2026
• Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?No · +$69 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?No · +$370 · Jul 1, 2026
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No · +$43 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.