YES Price
6¢
6% implied
NO Price
94¢
94% implied
Volume
$587
46 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 23 traders
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)
18 MARKETS · $71.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in July 2026
0¢+10¢$5.4K2/19by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in July 2026+10¢0¢
$5.4K2/19
by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026
3¢+20¢$12.6K7/23by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026+20¢3¢
$12.6K7/23
by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026
95¢−69¢$13.6K9/25by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026−69¢95¢
$13.6K9/25
by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026
3¢+20¢$15.2K9/30by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026+20¢3¢
$15.2K9/30
by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in August 2026
4¢+51¢$52511/9by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in August 2026+51¢4¢
$52511/9
by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in August 2026
1¢+49¢$4389/9by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in August 2026+49¢1¢
$4389/9
by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in August 2026
9¢+9¢$2703/14by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in August 2026+9¢9¢
$2703/14
by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in August 2026
20¢−15¢$3071/20by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in August 2026−15¢20¢
$3071/20
by between 1.30ºC and 1.33ºC in August 2026
1¢+16¢$1.0K2/10by between 1.30ºC and 1.33ºC in August 2026+16¢1¢
$1.0K2/10
by between 1.34ºC and 1.37ºC in August 2026
5¢+9¢$1.9K2/12by between 1.34ºC and 1.37ºC in August 2026+9¢5¢
$1.9K2/12
by between 1.38ºC and 1.41ºC in August 2026
69¢−33¢$1.2K4/7by between 1.38ºC and 1.41ºC in August 2026−33¢69¢
$1.2K4/7
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs9 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%
+2 new YES$0+1 new NO$12
0 smart whales1 smart whale
YES Team21 traders
Total Invested
$16
Avg Win Rate
70.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$9(-59.0%)
Whales
4
C
Corny-Hyphenation🥇
Entry 7¢·146 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $11 · WR 62.7%
M
Mysaria🥈
Entry 17¢·23.6 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $4 · WR 89.3%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 17¢·4.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 79.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 17¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 85.3%
NO Team21 traders
Total Invested
$282
Avg Win Rate
81.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$234(+83.0%)
Whales
9
N
northdrawer🥇
Entry 97¢·80 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $78 · WR 87.3%
K
korda77🥈
Entry 97¢·59 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $57 · WR 85.1%
S
SpringlyFawl🥉
Entry 97¢·54 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $52 · WR 74.9%
R
russell110320
Entry 61¢·50 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $31 · WR 66.5%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 85¢·28.7 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $24 · WR 78.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 97¢·15 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
89.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $15 · WR 89.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 97¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 88.9%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 64¢·10 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $6 · WR 88.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 3¢·80 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
+$73
+$73INV $2 · WR 87.3%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 81¢·2.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 69.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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