YES Price
99¢
99% implied
NO Price
1¢
1% implied
Volume
$6.3K
159 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 61 traders
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
7 MARKETS · $7.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
by more than 1.29ºC in August 2026←
99¢−80¢$6.3K4/17by more than 1.29ºC in August 2026←−80¢99¢
$6.3K4/17
by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026
14¢−14¢$1590/1by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026−14¢14¢
$1590/1
by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026
21¢—$00/0by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026—21¢
$00/0
by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026
44¢—$800/0by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026—44¢
$800/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs17 NO
19%81%
81% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $725 is directional: YES $704·NO $20YES Team
Total Invested
$2.2K
Avg Win Rate
67.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.6K(+70.7%)
Whales
4
R
russell110320🥇
Entry 53¢·2,903.6 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$1358
+$1358INV $1.5K · WR 67.5%
C
Corny-Hyphenation🥈
Entry 75¢·910.6 shares
Invested
$685
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$220
+$220INV $685 · WR 67.4%
E
Elias.Thornwell🥉
Entry 94¢·16.2 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $15 · WR 68.2%
B
big-bird1
Entry 86¢·4.8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 68.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$357
Avg Win Rate
80.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$349(-97.7%)
Whales
17
K
korda77🥇
Entry 83¢·118 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-97
$-97INV $98 · WR 85.2%
M
Maximus374◆Proven🥈
Entry 78¢·100 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
72.9%
Position P&L
$-77
$-77INV $78 · WR 72.9%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 17¢·170 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $29 · WR 88.7%
A
Anon321321
Entry 15¢·160 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $24 · WR 86.3%
J
JustMan900
Entry 30¢·66.9 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
63.9%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $20 · WR 63.9%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 17¢·104.4 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $18 · WR 79.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 7¢·227.4 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $17 · WR 86.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 15¢·100 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $15 · WR 72.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 15¢·80 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $12 · WR 87.7%
T
Tee1000
Entry 13¢·80 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 81.8%
Showing top 10 of 17
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 319ms