50 days left
Will global temperature increase by between 1.40ÂșC and 1.44ÂșC in October 2026?
YES Price
44Âą
44% implied
NO Price
56Âą
56% implied
Volume
$80
5 trades
Smart Whales
1
of 5 traders
October 2026 Temperature Increase (ÂșC)
6 MARKETS · $1.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
by less than 1.30ÂșC in October 2026
5Âąâ5Âą$1.1K0/2by less than 1.30ÂșC in October 2026â5Âą5Âą
$1.1K0/2
by between 1.30ÂșC and 1.34ÂșC in October 2026
14Âąâ14Âą$1590/1by between 1.30ÂșC and 1.34ÂșC in October 2026â14Âą14Âą
$1590/1
by between 1.35ÂșC and 1.39ÂșC in October 2026
21Âąâ$00/0by between 1.35ÂșC and 1.39ÂșC in October 2026â21Âą
$00/0
by between 1.40ÂșC and 1.44ÂșC in October 2026â
44Âąâ$800/0by between 1.40ÂșC and 1.44ÂșC in October 2026ââ44Âą
$800/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs0 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on YES
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 61%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$45+2 new NO$32
$19 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer â left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
YES Team
Total Invested
$9
Avg Win Rate
56.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$0(+1.2%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
â
Whales
0
No smart whales on NO
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