Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in July 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$5.4K
138 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 68 traders
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
18 MARKETS · $71.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in July 2026←
0¢+10¢$5.4K2/19by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in July 2026←+10¢0¢
$5.4K2/19
by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026
3¢+20¢$12.6K7/23by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026+20¢3¢
$12.6K7/23
by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026
95¢−69¢$13.6K9/25by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026−69¢95¢
$13.6K9/25
by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026
3¢+20¢$15.2K9/30by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026+20¢3¢
$15.2K9/30
by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in August 2026
4¢+51¢$52511/9by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in August 2026+51¢4¢
$52511/9
by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in August 2026
1¢+49¢$4389/9by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in August 2026+49¢1¢
$4389/9
by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in August 2026
9¢+9¢$2703/14by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in August 2026+9¢9¢
$2703/14
by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in August 2026
20¢−15¢$3071/20by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in August 2026−15¢20¢
$3071/20
by between 1.30ºC and 1.33ºC in August 2026
1¢+16¢$1.0K2/10by between 1.30ºC and 1.33ºC in August 2026+16¢1¢
$1.0K2/10
by between 1.34ºC and 1.37ºC in August 2026
5¢+9¢$1.9K2/12by between 1.34ºC and 1.37ºC in August 2026+9¢5¢
$1.9K2/12
by between 1.38ºC and 1.41ºC in August 2026
69¢−33¢$1.2K4/7by between 1.38ºC and 1.41ºC in August 2026−33¢69¢
$1.2K4/7
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs15 NO
94%
94% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team53 traders
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
86.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-100.0%)
Whales
1
NO Team53 traders
Total Invested
$1.9K
Avg Win Rate
85.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$742(+39.1%)
Whales
15
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 100¢·721.4 shares
Invested
$720
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $720 · WR 87.9%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 99¢·305 shares
Invested
$302
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $302 · WR 88.2%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 98¢·172 shares
Invested
$169
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $169 · WR 79.2%
V
vitalik-buttrig
Entry 99¢·164.6 shares
Invested
$162
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $162 · WR 85.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 100¢·150 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $150 · WR 87.3%
B
balthazar
Entry 98¢·140 shares
Invested
$137
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $137 · WR 71.6%
K
korda77
Entry 99¢·59 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $59 · WR 85.1%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 100¢·55.2 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $55 · WR 79.5%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 99¢·50.5 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $50 · WR 88.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 98¢·41 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
89.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $40 · WR 89.4%
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