Resolved
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ÂșC and 1.29ÂșC in July 2026?
YES Price
0Âą
0% implied
NO Price
100Âą
100% implied
Volume
$15.6K
324 trades
Smart Whales
31
of 101 traders
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ÂșC)
7 MARKETS · $17.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
by between 1.25ÂșC and 1.29ÂșC in July 2026â
0Âą+19Âą$15.6K6/25by between 1.25ÂșC and 1.29ÂșC in July 2026â+19Âą0Âą
$15.6K6/25
by less than 1.30ÂșC in October 2026
5Âąâ5Âą$1.1K0/2by less than 1.30ÂșC in October 2026â5Âą5Âą
$1.1K0/2
by between 1.30ÂșC and 1.34ÂșC in October 2026
14Âąâ14Âą$1590/1by between 1.30ÂșC and 1.34ÂșC in October 2026â14Âą14Âą
$1590/1
by between 1.35ÂșC and 1.39ÂșC in October 2026
23Âąâ$00/0by between 1.35ÂșC and 1.39ÂșC in October 2026â23Âą
$00/0
by between 1.40ÂșC and 1.44ÂșC in October 2026
44Âąâ$800/0by between 1.40ÂșC and 1.44ÂșC in October 2026â44Âą
$800/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs25 NO
19%81%
81% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h â no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides â all $373 is directional: YES $373·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$516
Avg Win Rate
59.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$514(-99.7%)
Whales
6
F
flawfenceâProvenđ„
Entry 8¹·4,244.1 shares
Invested
$354
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-354
$-354INV $354 · WR 55.4%
C
Corny-Hyphenationđ„hedged
Entry 51¹·181.4 shares·also $814 on NO
Invested
$93
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-93
$-93INV $93 · WR 67.4%
R
Rr55âProvenđ„
Entry 8¹·617.8 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
$-47
$-47INV $47 · WR 73.2%
M
Miojinho
Entry 3¹·620 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $19 · WR 61.4%
M
m3t3hedged
Entry 9¹·10 shares·also $9 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 70.9%
Showing top 5 of 6
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.4K
Avg Win Rate
77.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.5K(+43.2%)
Whales
25
C
Corny-Hyphenationđ„hedged
Entry 89¹·910.6 shares·also $93 on YES
Invested
$814
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$97
+$97INV $814 · WR 67.4%
R
russell110320đ„
Entry 92¹·770 shares
Invested
$708
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $708 · WR 67.5%
D
donthackmeđ„
Entry 80¹·742.8 shares
Invested
$596
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$146
+$146INV $596 · WR 87.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 61¹·335 shares
Invested
$203
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$132
+$132INV $203 · WR 87.7%
A
Anon321321
Entry 36¹·380.6 shares
Invested
$137
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
+$244
+$244INV $137 · WR 86.3%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 80¹·164.6 shares
Invested
$131
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $131 · WR 85.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 77¹·164 shares
Invested
$126
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $126 · WR 79.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 79¹·142 shares
Invested
$112
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $112 · WR 89.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 76¹·133.4 shares
Invested
$102
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $102 · WR 72.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 83¹·78 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $65 · WR 86.0%
Showing top 10 of 25
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 327ms