55 days left
Will global temperature increase by between 1.45ºC and 1.49ºC in November 2026?
YES Price
18¢
18% implied
NO Price
82¢
82% implied
Volume
$1.7K
33 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 17 traders
November 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
12 MARKETS · $22.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026
2¢−2¢$4270/1by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026−2¢2¢
$4270/1
by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026
3¢−3¢$3550/1by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026−3¢3¢
$3550/1
by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026
3¢−3¢$3330/3by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026−3¢3¢
$3330/3
by between 1.45ºC and 1.49ºC in October 2026
5¢−5¢$1000/1by between 1.45ºC and 1.49ºC in October 2026−5¢5¢
$1000/1
by more than 1.49ºC in October 2026
93¢−47¢$8.7K6/7by more than 1.49ºC in October 2026−47¢93¢
$8.7K6/7
by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in November 2026
3¢−3¢$3360/8by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in November 2026−3¢3¢
$3360/8
by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in November 2026
6¢−6¢$4.6K0/8by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in November 2026−6¢6¢
$4.6K0/8
by between 1.45ºC and 1.49ºC in November 2026←
18¢−18¢$1.7K0/7by between 1.45ºC and 1.49ºC in November 2026←−18¢18¢
$1.7K0/7
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs7 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $836 is directional: YES $0·NO $836YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$919
Avg Win Rate
71.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$31(+3.4%)
Whales
7
B
balerinacapuchina🥇
Entry 80¢·1,041 shares
Invested
$836
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $836 · WR 70.1%
M
mustbethewater🥈
Entry 73¢·40 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $29 · WR 79.7%
H
haveagoodday🥉
Entry 85¢·30 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $26 · WR 86.4%
L
Lucerys
Entry 74¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $15 · WR 87.6%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 74¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 86.1%
A
anothercoin
Entry 73¢·8 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $6 · WR 84.0%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 18¢·2.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $1 · WR 88.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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