55 days left
Will global temperature increase by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in November 2026?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$336
11 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 16 traders
November 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
12 MARKETS · $22.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026
2¢−2¢$4270/1by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026−2¢2¢
$4270/1
by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026
3¢−3¢$3550/1by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026−3¢3¢
$3550/1
by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026
3¢−3¢$3330/3by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026−3¢3¢
$3330/3
by between 1.45ºC and 1.49ºC in October 2026
5¢−5¢$1000/1by between 1.45ºC and 1.49ºC in October 2026−5¢5¢
$1000/1
by more than 1.49ºC in October 2026
93¢−47¢$8.7K6/7by more than 1.49ºC in October 2026−47¢93¢
$8.7K6/7
by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in November 2026←
3¢−3¢$3360/8by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in November 2026←−3¢3¢
$3360/8
by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in November 2026
6¢−6¢$4.6K0/8by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in November 2026−6¢6¢
$4.6K0/8
by between 1.45ºC and 1.49ºC in November 2026
18¢−18¢$1.7K0/7by between 1.45ºC and 1.49ºC in November 2026−18¢18¢
$1.7K0/7
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs8 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $179 is directional: YES $0·NO $179YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$301
Avg Win Rate
74.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$26(+8.6%)
Whales
8
C
Corny-Hyphenation🥇
Entry 82¢·155 shares
Invested
$128
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $128 · WR 68.6%
B
balerinacapuchina🥈
Entry 95¢·53.6 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $51 · WR 70.1%
M
mustbethewater🥉
Entry 92¢·40.2 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $37 · WR 79.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 99¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 87.5%
L
Lucerys
Entry 100¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $20 · WR 87.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 99¢·18.9 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $19 · WR 71.9%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 86.1%
A
anothercoin
Entry 91¢·8 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 84.0%
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