55 days left
Will global temperature increase by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in November 2026?
YES Price
6¢
6% implied
NO Price
94¢
94% implied
Volume
$4.6K
46 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 31 traders
November 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
12 MARKETS · $22.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026
2¢−2¢$4270/1by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026−2¢2¢
$4270/1
by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026
3¢−3¢$3550/1by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026−3¢3¢
$3550/1
by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026
3¢−3¢$3330/3by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026−3¢3¢
$3330/3
by between 1.45ºC and 1.49ºC in October 2026
5¢−5¢$1000/1by between 1.45ºC and 1.49ºC in October 2026−5¢5¢
$1000/1
by more than 1.49ºC in October 2026
93¢−47¢$8.7K6/7by more than 1.49ºC in October 2026−47¢93¢
$8.7K6/7
by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in November 2026
3¢−3¢$3360/8by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in November 2026−3¢3¢
$3360/8
by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in November 2026←
6¢−6¢$4.6K0/8by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in November 2026←−6¢6¢
$4.6K0/8
by between 1.45ºC and 1.49ºC in November 2026
18¢−18¢$1.7K0/7by between 1.45ºC and 1.49ºC in November 2026−18¢18¢
$1.7K0/7
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs8 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $729 is directional: YES $0·NO $729YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$802
Avg Win Rate
70.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$93(+11.6%)
Whales
8
B
balerinacapuchina🥇
Entry 84¢·573.3 shares
Invested
$483
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $483 · WR 70.1%
C
Corny-Hyphenation🥈
Entry 87¢·270.2 shares
Invested
$234
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $234 · WR 68.6%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 81¢·30 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $24 · WR 88.5%
L
Lucerys
Entry 87¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $17 · WR 87.6%
M
melchior1248
Entry 82¢·19.8 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $16 · WR 69.9%
N
Noted-Park-Journal
Entry 56¢·20 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $11 · WR 55.3%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 87¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 86.1%
A
anothercoin
Entry 83¢·8 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 84.0%
Smart Whale Trades
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