YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$366
38 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 22 traders
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)
18 MARKETS · $71.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in July 2026
0¢+10¢$5.4K2/19by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in July 2026+10¢0¢
$5.4K2/19
by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026
3¢+20¢$12.6K7/23by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026+20¢3¢
$12.6K7/23
by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026
95¢−69¢$13.6K9/25by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026−69¢95¢
$13.6K9/25
by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026
3¢+20¢$15.2K9/30by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026+20¢3¢
$15.2K9/30
by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in August 2026
4¢+51¢$52511/9by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in August 2026+51¢4¢
$52511/9
by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in August 2026
1¢+49¢$4389/9by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in August 2026+49¢1¢
$4389/9
by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in August 2026
9¢+9¢$2703/14by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in August 2026+9¢9¢
$2703/14
by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in August 2026
20¢−15¢$3071/20by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in August 2026−15¢20¢
$3071/20
by between 1.30ºC and 1.33ºC in August 2026
1¢+16¢$1.0K2/10by between 1.30ºC and 1.33ºC in August 2026+16¢1¢
$1.0K2/10
by between 1.34ºC and 1.37ºC in August 2026
5¢+9¢$1.9K2/12by between 1.34ºC and 1.37ºC in August 2026+9¢5¢
$1.9K2/12
by between 1.38ºC and 1.41ºC in August 2026
69¢−33¢$1.2K4/7by between 1.38ºC and 1.41ºC in August 2026−33¢69¢
$1.2K4/7
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs6 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+2 new YES$0+3 new NO$24
0 smart whales1 smart whale
YES Team21 traders
Total Invested
$34
Avg Win Rate
68.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$34(-99.5%)
Whales
3
C
Corny-Hyphenation🥇
Entry 100¢·21.6 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $22 · WR 62.7%
S
SpringlyFawl🥈
Entry 17¢·54 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 74.9%
M
Mysaria🥉
Entry 17¢·19.8 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 89.3%
C
Corny-Hyphenation
Entry 0¢·21.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 62.7%
NO Team21 traders
Total Invested
$169
Avg Win Rate
85.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$285(+169.3%)
Whales
6
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 99¢·90 shares
Invested
$89
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $89 · WR 88.9%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 99¢·35.1 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $35 · WR 79.2%
J
JustClickeverywhere🥉
Entry 99¢·18.2 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $18 · WR 78.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 99¢·15 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $15 · WR 87.3%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 89.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 1¢·90 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$89
+$89INV $1 · WR 88.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 1¢·35.1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $0 · WR 79.2%
K
korda77
Entry 0¢·118 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$118
+$118INV $0 · WR 85.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 1¢·15 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $0 · WR 87.3%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 1¢·18.2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $0 · WR 78.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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