6 days left
Will global temperature increase by between 1.30ºC and 1.33ºC in August 2026?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$1.0K
52 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 25 traders
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)
18 MARKETS · $71.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in July 2026
0¢+10¢$5.4K2/19by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in July 2026+10¢0¢
$5.4K2/19
by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026
3¢+20¢$12.6K7/23by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026+20¢3¢
$12.6K7/23
by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026
95¢−69¢$13.6K9/25by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026−69¢95¢
$13.6K9/25
by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026
3¢+20¢$15.2K9/30by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026+20¢3¢
$15.2K9/30
by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in August 2026
4¢+51¢$52511/9by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in August 2026+51¢4¢
$52511/9
by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in August 2026
1¢+49¢$4389/9by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in August 2026+49¢1¢
$4389/9
by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in August 2026
9¢+9¢$2703/14by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in August 2026+9¢9¢
$2703/14
by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in August 2026
20¢−15¢$3071/20by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in August 2026−15¢20¢
$3071/20
by between 1.30ºC and 1.33ºC in August 2026←
1¢+16¢$1.0K2/10by between 1.30ºC and 1.33ºC in August 2026←+16¢1¢
$1.0K2/10
by between 1.34ºC and 1.37ºC in August 2026
5¢+9¢$1.9K2/12by between 1.34ºC and 1.37ºC in August 2026+9¢5¢
$1.9K2/12
by between 1.38ºC and 1.41ºC in August 2026
69¢−33¢$1.2K4/7by between 1.38ºC and 1.41ºC in August 2026−33¢69¢
$1.2K4/7
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs10 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%
+4 new YES$2+2 new NO$78
2 smart whales1 smart whale
YES Team24 traders
Total Invested
$1
Avg Win Rate
66.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-23.6%)
Whales
2
NO Team24 traders
Total Invested
$737
Avg Win Rate
70.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$335(+45.4%)
Whales
10
C
Corny-Hyphenation🥇
Entry 96¢·509 shares
Invested
$488
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $488 · WR 62.7%
K
korda77🥈
Entry 99¢·59 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $58 · WR 85.1%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 99¢·50 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
89.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $49 · WR 89.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 99¢·38.3 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $38 · WR 79.2%
M
Mysaria
Entry 99¢·34.6 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $34 · WR 89.3%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 99¢·32.8 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $32 · WR 78.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 99¢·15 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $15 · WR 88.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 87.3%
E
0xeaa35ce9...
Entry 98¢·8.8 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 79.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 1¢·50 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
89.6%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $1 · WR 89.6%
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