6 days left
Will global temperature increase by between 1.34ºC and 1.37ºC in August 2026?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$1.9K
95 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 34 traders
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)
18 MARKETS · $71.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in July 2026
0¢+10¢$5.4K2/19by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in July 2026+10¢0¢
$5.4K2/19
by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026
3¢+20¢$12.6K7/23by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026+20¢3¢
$12.6K7/23
by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026
95¢−69¢$13.6K9/25by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026−69¢95¢
$13.6K9/25
by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026
3¢+20¢$15.2K9/30by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026+20¢3¢
$15.2K9/30
by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in August 2026
4¢+51¢$52511/9by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in August 2026+51¢4¢
$52511/9
by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in August 2026
1¢+49¢$4389/9by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in August 2026+49¢1¢
$4389/9
by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in August 2026
9¢+9¢$2703/14by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in August 2026+9¢9¢
$2703/14
by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in August 2026
20¢−15¢$3071/20by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in August 2026−15¢20¢
$3071/20
by between 1.30ºC and 1.33ºC in August 2026
1¢+16¢$1.0K2/10by between 1.30ºC and 1.33ºC in August 2026+16¢1¢
$1.0K2/10
by between 1.34ºC and 1.37ºC in August 2026←
5¢+9¢$1.9K2/12by between 1.34ºC and 1.37ºC in August 2026←+9¢5¢
$1.9K2/12
by between 1.38ºC and 1.41ºC in August 2026
69¢−33¢$1.2K4/7by between 1.38ºC and 1.41ºC in August 2026−33¢69¢
$1.2K4/7
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs10 NO
23%77%
77% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%
+1 new YES$2+2 new NO$104
1 smart whale1 smart whale
YES Team30 traders
Total Invested
$31
Avg Win Rate
61.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$26(-83.3%)
Whales
3
NO Team30 traders
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
67.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$428(+32.8%)
Whales
10
C
Corny-Hyphenation🥇
Entry 90¢·1,160.2 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $1.0K · WR 62.7%
G
god83743894🥈
Entry 95¢·60 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $57 · WR 84.6%
K
korda77🥉
Entry 94¢·59 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $55 · WR 85.1%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 97¢·40 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
89.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $39 · WR 89.4%
E
e46m3
Entry 93¢·40.6 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $38 · WR 79.2%
M
Mysaria
Entry 95¢·28.8 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $27 · WR 89.3%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 98¢·20.1 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 78.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 93¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 87.3%
2
0x24906198...
Entry 93¢·8.8 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
74.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 74.8%
K
korda77
Entry 6¢·59 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$53
+$53INV $4 · WR 85.1%
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