Tech/AI57 days left
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
YES Price
79¢
79% implied
NO Price
21¢
21% implied
Volume
$42.2K
1,263 trades
Smart Whales
23
of 235 traders
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
26 MARKETS · $666.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
38¢+18¢$72.2K9/7by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+18¢38¢
$72.2K9/7
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
26¢+22¢$45.6K11/12by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+22¢26¢
$45.6K11/12
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
8¢+30¢$9.8K6/10by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+30¢8¢
$9.8K6/10
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher
4¢+29¢$2.8K3/6by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher+29¢4¢
$2.8K3/6
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
17¢+24¢$49.5K7/10by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher+24¢17¢
$49.5K7/10
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
13¢+37¢$18.1K7/7by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+37¢13¢
$18.1K7/7
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
7¢+26¢$15.1K4/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+26¢7¢
$15.1K4/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
6¢+32¢$6.2K3/5by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+32¢6¢
$6.2K3/5
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
64¢−19¢$67.6K13/16by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−19¢64¢
$67.6K13/16
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
43¢+1¢$41.9K7/9by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher+1¢43¢
$41.9K7/9
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
39¢+11¢$38.2K8/8by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+11¢39¢
$38.2K8/8
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
14¢+27¢$23.1K7/10by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+27¢14¢
$23.1K7/10
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
1¢+32¢$4.1K2/4by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+32¢1¢
$4.1K2/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
12¢+36¢$54.8K10/11by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+36¢12¢
$54.8K10/11
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
7¢+40¢$21.4K9/10by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+40¢7¢
$21.4K9/10
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
4¢+63¢$11.6K8/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+63¢4¢
$11.6K8/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
5¢+8¢$3.2K1/7by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+8¢5¢
$3.2K1/7
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher←
79¢−18¢$42.2K14/9by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher←−18¢79¢
$42.2K14/9
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
40¢+10¢$56.9K9/9by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+10¢40¢
$56.9K9/9
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
5¢+18¢$28.4K3/10by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+18¢5¢
$28.4K3/10
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
3¢+6¢$7.7K1/10by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+6¢3¢
$7.7K1/10
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
53¢−6¢$25.7K9/10by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher−6¢53¢
$25.7K9/10
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
11¢+39¢$12.1K6/6by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+39¢11¢
$12.1K6/6
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
4¢+29¢$5.1K2/4by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+29¢4¢
$5.1K2/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs9 NO
61%39%
61% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 9% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $486 is directional: YES $43·NO $443YES Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
67.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.4K(+118.7%)
Whales
14
V
vinii🥇hedged
Entry 43¢·1,134 shares·also $178 on NO
Invested
$493
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$398
+$398INV $493 · WR 66.6%
B
BAO95889🥈hedged
Entry 30¢·1,283.7 shares·also $1.1K on NO
Invested
$386
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$622
+$622INV $386 · WR 58.8%
C
Computerdude111🥉hedged
Entry 30¢·722.7 shares·also $626 on NO
Invested
$218
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
+$350
+$350INV $218 · WR 80.0%
M
musicenthusiast
Entry 83¢·31.8 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $26 · WR 58.9%
N
NeevS
Entry 86¢·30 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
88.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $26 · WR 88.3%
T
The-Joker◆Proven
Entry 21¢·106 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
+$61
+$61INV $22 · WR 69.1%
I
iutwpfalhedged
Entry 100¢·13.8 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$14
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $14 · WR 74.1%
A
0xa5cb092f...hedged
Entry 65¢·18.6 shares·also $13 on NO
Invested
$12
Win Rate
64.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $12 · WR 64.2%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor◆Proven
Entry 43¢·27.2 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $12 · WR 69.7%
O
Outlying-Hutch
Entry 46¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $5 · WR 57.8%
Showing top 10 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.4K
Avg Win Rate
67.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.5K(-63.6%)
Whales
9
B
BAO95889🥇hedged
Entry 89¢·1,252.7 shares·also $386 on YES
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-848
$-848INV $1.1K · WR 58.8%
C
Computerdude111🥈hedged
Entry 91¢·687.7 shares·also $218 on YES
Invested
$626
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
$-478
$-478INV $626 · WR 80.0%
O
Olcan🥉
Entry 21¢·1,335.8 shares
Invested
$284
Win Rate
76.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $284 · WR 76.7%
V
viniihedged
Entry 61¢·294.3 shares·also $493 on YES
Invested
$178
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-115
$-115INV $178 · WR 66.6%
J
Jet9
Entry 39¢·400 shares
Invested
$154
Win Rate
67.8%
Position P&L
$-68
$-68INV $154 · WR 67.8%
A
0xa5cb092f...hedged
Entry 59¢·22.1 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$13
Win Rate
64.2%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $13 · WR 64.2%
C
cloverpmq2
Entry 24¢·20 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 55.6%
I
iutwpfalhedged
Entry 13¢·13.9 shares·also $14 on YES
Invested
$2
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 74.1%
S
Sad-Jumpsuithedged
Entry 93¢·1.3 shares·also $0 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 68.3%
Smart Whale Trades
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