Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$17.3K
448 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 112 traders
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
27 MARKETS · $684.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
35¢+21¢$72.3K9/7by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+21¢35¢
$72.3K9/7
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
22¢+26¢$45.7K11/12by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+26¢22¢
$45.7K11/12
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
8¢+30¢$9.8K6/10by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+30¢8¢
$9.8K6/10
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher
4¢+29¢$2.8K3/6by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher+29¢4¢
$2.8K3/6
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
17¢+24¢$49.5K7/10by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher+24¢17¢
$49.5K7/10
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
13¢+37¢$18.1K7/7by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+37¢13¢
$18.1K7/7
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
7¢+26¢$15.1K4/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+26¢7¢
$15.1K4/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
6¢+32¢$6.2K3/5by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+32¢6¢
$6.2K3/5
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
67¢−22¢$67.6K13/16by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−22¢67¢
$67.6K13/16
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
42¢+2¢$41.9K7/9by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher+2¢42¢
$41.9K7/9
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
38¢+12¢$38.2K8/8by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+12¢38¢
$38.2K8/8
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
14¢+27¢$23.1K7/10by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+27¢14¢
$23.1K7/10
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
1¢+32¢$4.1K2/4by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+32¢1¢
$4.1K2/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
14¢+34¢$55.1K10/11by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+34¢14¢
$55.1K10/11
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
7¢+40¢$21.4K9/10by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+40¢7¢
$21.4K9/10
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
4¢+63¢$11.6K8/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+63¢4¢
$11.6K8/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
4¢+9¢$3.2K1/7by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+9¢4¢
$3.2K1/7
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher←
100¢−22¢$17.3K14/4by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher←−22¢100¢
$17.3K14/4
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
79¢−18¢$42.2K14/9by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−18¢79¢
$42.2K14/9
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
40¢+10¢$56.9K9/9by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+10¢40¢
$56.9K9/9
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
5¢+18¢$28.4K3/10by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+18¢5¢
$28.4K3/10
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
3¢+6¢$7.7K1/10by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+6¢3¢
$7.7K1/10
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
53¢−6¢$25.7K9/10by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher−6¢53¢
$25.7K9/10
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
11¢+39¢$12.1K6/6by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+39¢11¢
$12.1K6/6
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
4¢+29¢$5.1K2/4by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+29¢4¢
$5.1K2/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs4 NO
78%22%
78% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $115 is directional: YES $113·NO $2YES Team
Total Invested
$3.3K
Avg Win Rate
80.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.2K(+64.3%)
Whales
14
6
0x6fa70d26...◆Proven🥇
Entry 69¢·2,598.8 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$807
+$807INV $1.8K · WR 88.2%
I
iutwpfal🥈
Entry 44¢·1,618.7 shares
Invested
$715
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$903
+$903INV $715 · WR 74.1%
B
BAO95889🥉
Entry 87¢·393 shares
Invested
$344
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $344 · WR 58.8%
O
Olcanhedged
Entry 44¢·638.7 shares·also $533 on NO
Invested
$278
Win Rate
76.7%
Position P&L
+$361
+$361INV $278 · WR 76.7%
V
viniihedged
Entry 132¢·55.2 shares·also $51 on NO
Invested
$73
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $73 · WR 66.6%
N
NeevS
Entry 90¢·80 shares
Invested
$72
Win Rate
88.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $72 · WR 88.3%
U
Unusual-Example
Entry 50¢·44.4 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
89.7%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $22 · WR 89.7%
S
sand1◆Proven
Entry 89¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $18 · WR 76.8%
C
Computerdude111
Entry 50¢·21.2 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $11 · WR 80.0%
K
K7fhp9vXm2Rtw4LbN8cGy3Ds6AoEhedged
Entry 37¢·25 shares·also $17 on NO
Invested
$9
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $9 · WR 58.5%
Showing top 10 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$603
Avg Win Rate
75.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$600(-99.5%)
Whales
4
O
Olcan🥇hedged
Entry 107¢·498.1 shares·also $278 on YES
Invested
$533
Win Rate
76.7%
Position P&L
$-533
$-533INV $533 · WR 76.7%
V
vinii🥈hedged
Entry 93¢·55.2 shares·also $73 on YES
Invested
$51
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-51
$-51INV $51 · WR 66.6%
K
K7fhp9vXm2Rtw4LbN8cGy3Ds6AoE🥉hedged
Entry 67¢·25 shares·also $9 on YES
Invested
$17
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $17 · WR 58.5%
R
romanew-crypto
Entry 7¢·30 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 66.5%
Smart Whale Trades
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