Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$17.3K
284 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 112 traders
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
27 MARKETS · $685.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
35¢+21¢$72.3K10/8by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+21¢35¢
$72.3K10/8
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
20¢+30¢$46.0K11/11by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+30¢20¢
$46.0K11/11
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
8¢+30¢$9.8K6/10by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+30¢8¢
$9.8K6/10
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher
4¢+29¢$2.8K3/6by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher+29¢4¢
$2.8K3/6
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
17¢+24¢$49.5K7/10by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher+24¢17¢
$49.5K7/10
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
13¢+37¢$18.1K7/7by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+37¢13¢
$18.1K7/7
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
7¢+26¢$15.1K4/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+26¢7¢
$15.1K4/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
5¢+28¢$6.2K3/6by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+28¢5¢
$6.2K3/6
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
63¢−20¢$67.6K13/17by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−20¢63¢
$67.6K13/17
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
39¢+5¢$42.1K7/9by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher+5¢39¢
$42.1K7/9
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
35¢+15¢$38.3K8/8by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+15¢35¢
$38.3K8/8
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
14¢+27¢$23.3K7/10by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+27¢14¢
$23.3K7/10
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
1¢+32¢$4.1K2/4by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+32¢1¢
$4.1K2/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
15¢+30¢$55.1K9/11by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+30¢15¢
$55.1K9/11
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
7¢+38¢$21.4K9/11by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+38¢7¢
$21.4K9/11
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
4¢+63¢$11.6K8/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+63¢4¢
$11.6K8/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
4¢+9¢$3.2K1/7by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+9¢4¢
$3.2K1/7
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher←
100¢−26¢$17.3K14/5by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher←−26¢100¢
$17.3K14/5
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
79¢−17¢$42.2K16/10by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−17¢79¢
$42.2K16/10
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
40¢+13¢$56.9K10/9by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+13¢40¢
$56.9K10/9
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
4¢+27¢$28.4K4/9by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+27¢4¢
$28.4K4/9
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
3¢+5¢$7.7K1/11by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+5¢3¢
$7.7K1/11
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
53¢−3¢$25.7K10/10by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher−3¢53¢
$25.7K10/10
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
6¢+44¢$12.1K6/6by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+44¢6¢
$12.1K6/6
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
4¢+29¢$5.1K2/4by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+29¢4¢
$5.1K2/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs3 NO
75%25%
75% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 66% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $172 is directional: YES $113·NO $59YES Team
Total Invested
$2.5K
Avg Win Rate
81.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$468(+18.6%)
Whales
9
6
0x6fa70d26...◆Proven🥇
Entry 100¢·1,299.4 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $1.3K · WR 87.2%
I
iutwpfal🥈hedged
Entry 70¢·1,533.1 shares·also $107 on NO
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
+$455
+$455INV $1.1K · WR 73.9%
N
NeevS🥉
Entry 90¢·80 shares
Invested
$72
Win Rate
88.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $72 · WR 88.3%
U
Unusual-Example
Entry 90¢·22.2 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
89.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $20 · WR 89.7%
S
sand1◆Proven
Entry 89¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $18 · WR 76.8%
C
Computerdude111
Entry 50¢·21.2 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $11 · WR 80.0%
B
big-bird1
Entry 90¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $9 · WR 69.0%
C
Cold-Piano
Entry 90¢·2.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 75.0%
R
Rushmore98
Entry 91¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
77.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 77.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$166
Avg Win Rate
67.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$105(-63.5%)
Whales
3
I
iutwpfal🥇hedged
Entry 11¢·998.3 shares·also $1.1K on YES
Invested
$107
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
$-107
$-107INV $107 · WR 73.9%
S
SteviaDaddy🥈
Entry 10¢·572.3 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $57 · WR 55.1%
R
romanew-crypto🥉
Entry 7¢·30 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 66.5%
Smart Whale Trades
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