Politics23 days left
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?
YES Price
18¢
18% implied
NO Price
82¢
82% implied
Volume
$17.1K
877 trades
Smart Whales
39
of 172 traders
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
13 MARKETS · $154.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs29 NO
26%74%
74% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 38% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.1K is directional: YES $425·NO $692YES Team
Total Invested
$448
Avg Win Rate
56.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$48(+10.7%)
Whales
10
A
andy29🥇
Entry 20¢·875 shares
Invested
$171
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $171 · WR 55.3%
F
FrozenParasite🥈
Entry 13¢·1,148.2 shares
Invested
$149
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$58
+$58INV $149 · WR 56.4%
S
ScottyNooo🥉
Entry 16¢·550.1 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $90 · WR 56.0%
M
Malpa
Entry 75¢·28.6 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $22 · WR 61.7%
J
jq123
Entry 10¢·56.4 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
63.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $6 · WR 63.9%
O
orkosam
Entry 18¢·28.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
80.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 80.9%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 17¢·22.9 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 68.2%
7
0x700974a3...
Entry 4¢·28.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $1 · WR 81.7%
Q
quiddy
Entry 0¢·17.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $0 · WR 76.3%
Showing top 9 of 10
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
77.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$180(+13.4%)
Whales
29
G
GayPride◆Proven🥇
Entry 74¢·900.2 shares
Invested
$662
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
+$76
+$76INV $662 · WR 69.5%
N
nullpointa🥈
Entry 83¢·160.1 shares
Invested
$133
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $133 · WR 87.5%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 74¢·149 shares
Invested
$110
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $110 · WR 86.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 83¢·60 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $50 · WR 88.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 52¢·88.5 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $46 · WR 87.7%
G
god83743894
Entry 54¢·80 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $43 · WR 85.7%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 82¢·40 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
—
—INV $33 · WR 79.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 82¢·40 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
—
—INV $33 · WR 89.0%
O
opus28
Entry 84¢·36 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
79.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 79.8%
M
Majestic-Toque-Occupation
Entry 50¢·49.1 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $25 · WR 86.1%
Showing top 10 of 29
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