Politics23 days left
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?
YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$8.2K
462 trades
Smart Whales
37
of 117 traders
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
13 MARKETS · $154.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs27 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 22% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $339 is directional: YES $74·NO $265YES Team
Total Invested
$81
Avg Win Rate
61.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$13(+15.8%)
Whales
10
A
andy29🥇
Entry 7¢·750 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $54 · WR 55.3%
G
GayPride◆Proven🥈
Entry 10¢·72.4 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $7 · WR 69.5%
O
orkosam🥉
Entry 11¢·45.5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
80.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 80.9%
G
GoodNightIHope
Entry 9¢·50 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
92.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 92.3%
B
Bikesarethebest◆Proven
Entry 9¢·47.7 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 56.3%
J
jq123
Entry 8¢·23.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
63.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 63.9%
F
ffsFsfq
Entry 14¢·10 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 66.8%
7
0x700974a3...
Entry 4¢·1.5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 81.7%
Q
quiddy
Entry 0¢·7.7 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 76.3%
Showing top 9 of 10
NO Team
Total Invested
$926
Avg Win Rate
81.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$138(+14.9%)
Whales
27
E
Eatpraylove🥇
Entry 90¢·294.7 shares
Invested
$265
Win Rate
72.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $265 · WR 72.8%
N
nullpointa🥈
Entry 91¢·160.1 shares
Invested
$146
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $146 · WR 87.5%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 91¢·134 shares
Invested
$121
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $121 · WR 86.0%
D
donthackme
Entry 50¢·93.5 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $47 · WR 87.7%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 92¢·40.1 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $37 · WR 79.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·59.9 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $30 · WR 79.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 89¢·30 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $27 · WR 88.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 89¢·30 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $27 · WR 89.0%
S
Satisfied-Shoehorn-Blast
Entry 50¢·49.1 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
83.4%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $25 · WR 83.4%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·45 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $22 · WR 85.9%
Showing top 10 of 27
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