Politics23 days left
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$4.5K
361 trades
Smart Whales
33
of 92 traders
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
13 MARKETS · $154.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs27 NO
18%82%
82% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $65 is directional: YES $65·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$172
Avg Win Rate
77.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$127(-73.5%)
Whales
6
F
FrankOcean2028🥇hedged
Entry 95¢·112 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$107
Win Rate
91.4%
Position P&L
$-103
$-103INV $107 · WR 91.4%
A
andy29🥈
Entry 5¢·1,157.7 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $64 · WR 55.3%
7
0x700974a3...🥉
Entry 4¢·30 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 81.7%
F
ffsFsfq
Entry 4¢·9.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 66.8%
E
Eia
Entry 1¢·31.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 61.7%
Q
quiddy
Entry 0¢·3.2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 76.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$697
Avg Win Rate
85.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$335(+48.1%)
Whales
27
N
nullpointa🥇
Entry 98¢·160.1 shares
Invested
$156
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $156 · WR 87.5%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 75¢·125 shares
Invested
$94
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $94 · WR 88.7%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 75¢·119 shares
Invested
$89
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $89 · WR 86.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 98¢·70 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $69 · WR 88.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 97¢·40.1 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $39 · WR 79.6%
D
donthackme
Entry 74¢·51.2 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $38 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·59.9 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $30 · WR 79.6%
C
Conscious-Gaffer-Tortoise
Entry 50¢·49.1 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $25 · WR 79.2%
C
cash-machine
Entry 98¢·24 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $24 · WR 85.1%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 63¢·35 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $22 · WR 85.9%
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