Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$27.1K
580 trades
Smart Whales
48
of 167 traders
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
13 MARKETS · $458.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
17 YESvs31 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $4.0K is directional: YES $248·NO $3.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$250
Avg Win Rate
85.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$248(-99.0%)
Whales
17
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 7¢·1,653.6 shares
Invested
$118
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-117
$-117INV $118 · WR 87.6%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 7¢·844.4 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $60 · WR 86.1%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 7¢·686.8 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $49 · WR 87.9%
C
CompulsiveGambler
Entry 7¢·200 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $14 · WR 68.5%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 7¢·55.6 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
87.8%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 87.8%
P
Pure-Eyeliner
Entry 1¢·160.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 57.6%
F
ffsFsfq
Entry 8¢·10 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 66.8%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 2¢·35 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 60.3%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 2¢·32.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 60.0%
S
sciuboi
Entry 8¢·3.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 72.4%
Showing top 10 of 17
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.5K
Avg Win Rate
72.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.1K(+19.3%)
Whales
31
E
Eatpraylove🥇
Entry 98¢·3,839.3 shares
Invested
$3.7K
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$90
+$90INV $3.7K · WR 72.7%
B
Bikesarethebest◆Proven🥈
Entry 94¢·311 shares
Invested
$291
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $291 · WR 56.3%
A
andy29🥉
Entry 32¢·850 shares
Invested
$269
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$581
+$581INV $269 · WR 57.7%
C
Contestable-Parfait
Entry 97¢·240 shares
Invested
$232
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $232 · WR 55.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 98¢·139 shares
Invested
$137
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $137 · WR 89.0%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 99¢·108.3 shares
Invested
$107
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $107 · WR 86.4%
P
plainfolder
Entry 97¢·110 shares
Invested
$106
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $106 · WR 86.1%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 60¢·143 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$58
+$58INV $85 · WR 85.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 98¢·80.2 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $79 · WR 87.5%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 99¢·68.8 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $68 · WR 88.5%
Showing top 10 of 31
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