Economics80 days left
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$2.42M
17,157 trades
Smart Whales
132
of 6,322 traders · 1 on both sides
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
14 MARKETS · $6.65M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+18¢$154.5K14/64Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026+18¢0¢
$154.5K14/64
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026
0¢+17¢$152.1K14/69Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026+17¢0¢
$152.1K14/69
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026
0¢+21¢$154.5K15/58Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026+21¢0¢
$154.5K15/58
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+10¢$94.4K7/61Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026+10¢0¢
$94.4K7/61
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026
0¢+25¢$181.2K26/79Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026+25¢0¢
$181.2K26/79
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026
0¢+14¢$70.6K11/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026+14¢0¢
$70.6K11/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026
0¢+18¢$500.9K15/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026+18¢0¢
$500.9K15/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+14¢$87.4K12/71Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026+14¢0¢
$87.4K12/71
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026
2¢+14¢$207.9K14/72Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026+14¢2¢
$207.9K14/72
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026
1¢+33¢$539.6K58/113Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026+33¢1¢
$539.6K58/113
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026
18¢+17¢$1.38M58/108Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026+17¢18¢
$1.38M58/108
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026
67¢−50¢$446.2K18/88Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026−50¢67¢
$446.2K18/88
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Smart Money Consensus
37 YESvs96 NO
28%72%
72% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 9% YES by dollars · 22 YES vs 27 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 84%
+4 new YES$14+5 new NO$75
0 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $1.4K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $117·NO $1.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$3.2K
Avg Win Rate
73.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.2K(-68.0%)
Whales
37
G
gauge-science🥇hedged
Entry 96¢·950 shares·also $14 on NO
Invested
$916
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-819
$-819INV $916 · WR 74.1%
H
harvestiq96🥈hedged
Entry 99¢·839 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$829
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
$-743
$-743INV $829 · WR 72.4%
F
Few188🥉hedged
Entry 99¢·597 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$590
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
$-529
$-529INV $590 · WR 64.0%
C
chalk63hedged
Entry 99¢·580 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$573
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-514
$-514INV $573 · WR 85.2%
S
SingletonFamilyFund
Entry 34¢·135.1 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $46 · WR 69.2%
T
thefakenickhedged
Entry 3¢·1,000 shares·also $969 on NO
Invested
$30
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$72
+$72INV $30 · WR 66.7%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 28¢·88.2 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $25 · WR 68.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 7¢·333.4 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $22 · WR 87.7%
P
piece19hedged
Entry 1¢·1,391 shares·also $1.4K on NO
Invested
$14
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
+$128
+$128INV $14 · WR 90.0%
A
Action-Bundle-Roasthedged
Entry 1¢·1,282 shares·also $1.3K on NO
Invested
$13
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$118
+$118INV $13 · WR 85.2%
Showing top 10 of 37
NO Team
Total Invested
$12.2K
Avg Win Rate
80.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$7.5K(+62.0%)
Whales
96
P
piece19🥇hedged
Entry 99¢·1,391 shares·also $14 on YES
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
$-125
$-125INV $1.4K · WR 90.0%
A
Action-Bundle-Roast🥈hedged
Entry 99¢·1,282 shares·also $13 on YES
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-115
$-115INV $1.3K · WR 85.2%
I
influenz.eth🥉
Entry 49¢·2,360.1 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$974
+$974INV $1.1K · WR 85.8%
C
Churnlonelyhedged
Entry 99¢·1,087 shares·also $11 on YES
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
$-98
$-98INV $1.1K · WR 82.8%
T
thefakenickhedged
Entry 97¢·1,000 shares·also $30 on YES
Invested
$969
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-71
$-71INV $969 · WR 66.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 96¢·898.8 shares
Invested
$861
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-54
$-54INV $861 · WR 72.2%
P
puravida
Entry 61¢·750 shares
Invested
$454
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$220
+$220INV $454 · WR 59.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 95¢·425.2 shares
Invested
$404
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $404 · WR 89.0%
R
rated
Entry 97¢·318.5 shares
Invested
$310
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $310 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 89¢·279.2 shares
Invested
$249
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $249 · WR 85.9%
Showing top 10 of 96
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