Politics23 days left
Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$31.2K
607 trades
Smart Whales
33
of 209 traders
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
13 MARKETS · $154.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs31 NO
94%
94% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $56 is directional: YES $2·NO $54YES Team
Total Invested
$2
Avg Win Rate
70.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-53.5%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$894
Avg Win Rate
81.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.4K(+154.2%)
Whales
31
N
nullpointa🥇
Entry 94¢·160.1 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $150 · WR 87.5%
A
andy29🥈
Entry 9¢·1,243.6 shares
Invested
$108
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$1104
+$1104INV $108 · WR 55.3%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 96¢·112.3 shares
Invested
$108
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $108 · WR 87.7%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 63¢·100 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $63 · WR 88.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 94¢·56 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $53 · WR 89.0%
M
misternoga
Entry 98¢·50.1 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $49 · WR 81.3%
D
donthackme
Entry 50¢·93.5 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $47 · WR 87.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 65¢·59 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $38 · WR 86.0%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 93¢·40.1 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $37 · WR 79.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·65.3 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $33 · WR 79.6%
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