Politics23 days left
Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$6.7K
442 trades
Smart Whales
34
of 102 traders
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
13 MARKETS · $154.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs31 NO
9%91%
91% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $120 is directional: YES $0·NO $120YES Team
Total Invested
$5
Avg Win Rate
56.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$3(-57.8%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$925
Avg Win Rate
80.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.4K(+153.7%)
Whales
31
N
nullpointa🥇
Entry 93¢·160.1 shares
Invested
$149
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $149 · WR 87.5%
J
jq123🥈
Entry 82¢·100 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
63.9%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $82 · WR 63.9%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 95¢·80 shares
Invested
$76
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $76 · WR 88.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 94¢·69 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $65 · WR 86.0%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 96¢·65 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $63 · WR 88.7%
A
andy29
Entry 5¢·1,243.6 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$1156
+$1156INV $57 · WR 55.3%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·110 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $55 · WR 87.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 55¢·93.5 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $51 · WR 87.7%
G
god83743894
Entry 97¢·40 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $39 · WR 85.7%
I
i2dt◆Proven
Entry 94¢·41 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $38 · WR 70.2%
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