Tech/AI48 days left
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
YES Price
40¢
40% implied
NO Price
60¢
60% implied
Volume
$42.4K
1,303 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 223 traders
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
24 MARKETS · $569.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
25¢0¢$11.9K3/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher0¢25¢
$11.9K3/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher
7¢+10¢$4.1K1/5by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher+10¢7¢
$4.1K1/5
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
27¢+20¢$50.4K8/9by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher+20¢27¢
$50.4K8/9
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
14¢+36¢$18.6K3/3by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+36¢14¢
$18.6K3/3
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
12¢+28¢$15.1K2/3by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+28¢12¢
$15.1K2/3
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
5¢−5¢$6.2K0/2by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher−5¢5¢
$6.2K0/2
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
56¢−3¢$68.3K9/8by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−3¢56¢
$68.3K9/8
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher←
40¢−15¢$42.4K2/6by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher←−15¢40¢
$42.4K2/6
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
25¢+8¢$38.6K2/4by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+8¢25¢
$38.6K2/4
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
14¢+11¢$23.5K1/3by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+11¢14¢
$23.5K1/3
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
2¢−2¢$4.4K0/3by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher−2¢2¢
$4.4K0/3
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
34¢+4¢$59.1K6/10by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+4¢34¢
$59.1K6/10
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
11¢+59¢$22.8K7/3by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+59¢11¢
$22.8K7/3
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
6¢+77¢$11.8K5/1by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+77¢6¢
$11.8K5/1
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
4¢−4¢$3.3K0/5by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher−4¢4¢
$3.3K0/5
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
93¢−31¢$43.3K8/5by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−31¢93¢
$43.3K8/5
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
48¢−1¢$57.8K9/10by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher−1¢48¢
$57.8K9/10
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
20¢+5¢$29.5K2/6by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+5¢20¢
$29.5K2/6
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
4¢−4¢$8.4K0/10by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher−4¢4¢
$8.4K0/10
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
67¢−47¢$26.2K1/4by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher−47¢67¢
$26.2K1/4
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
21¢+46¢$14.6K4/2by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+46¢21¢
$14.6K4/2
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
3¢−3¢$5.3K0/3by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher−3¢3¢
$5.3K0/3
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs6 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 40¢
YES 25%NO 75%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 40¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 89%· net of hedges
$25
$71
+3 new YES+5 new NO
$36 bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $552 is directional: YES $6·NO $545YES Team
Total Invested
$6
Avg Win Rate
70.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-20.0%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$545
Avg Win Rate
72.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$60(+11.0%)
Whales
6
O
Olcan🥇
Entry 49¢·716 shares
Invested
$353
Win Rate
76.5%
Position P&L
+$70
+$70INV $353 · WR 76.5%
N
NoTeacher🥈
Entry 58¢·264.7 shares
Invested
$154
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $154 · WR 60.3%
E
ellisluis🥉
Entry 56¢·49.4 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $28 · WR 88.9%
B
BAO95889
Entry 51¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $10 · WR 60.2%
Y
yoyo424269
Entry 54¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
—
—INV $1 · WR 69.6%
B
big-bird1
Entry 51¢·0.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 69.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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