Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$27.0K
777 trades
Smart Whales
58
of 186 traders
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
13 MARKETS · $295.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
18 YESvs40 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 8% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 96%· net of hedges
+45 new YES$1.1K+56 new NO$9.9K
$1.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 23 buyers — left out of momentum
11 smart whales24 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.4K is directional: YES $113·NO $1.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$125
Avg Win Rate
57.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$31(-25.2%)
Whales
18
A
andy29🥇
Entry 7¢·821.2 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $59 · WR 55.4%
C
crckr🥈
Entry 7¢·503 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $38 · WR 58.5%
P
Pure-Eyeliner🥉
Entry 9¢·82.6 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $7 · WR 57.5%
N
nufonehudis67
Entry 3¢·86 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 55.3%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 7¢·40 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 79.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 7¢·28.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 87.7%
E
Eia
Entry 1¢·149.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $1 · WR 61.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 7¢·6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 79.6%
F
ffsFsfq
Entry 1¢·10 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 66.8%
L
Lucerys
Entry 7¢·1.2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 88.0%
Showing top 10 of 18
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.6K
Avg Win Rate
72.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$665(+18.4%)
Whales
40
S
sciuboi🥇
Entry 65¢·1,521.3 shares
Invested
$984
Win Rate
71.1%
Position P&L
+$469
+$469INV $984 · WR 71.1%
B
0xbb151045...🥈
Entry 92¢·600 shares
Invested
$551
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $551 · WR 56.7%
C
CompulsiveGambler🥉
Entry 97¢·505.5 shares
Invested
$489
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $489 · WR 68.5%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 95¢·241.1 shares
Invested
$228
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $228 · WR 86.2%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 97¢·195 shares
Invested
$189
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $189 · WR 88.2%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 93¢·190 shares
Invested
$178
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $178 · WR 86.1%
S
Spectrum◆Proven
Entry 97¢·160.2 shares
Invested
$156
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $156 · WR 60.8%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 73¢·207.6 shares
Invested
$152
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $152 · WR 89.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 65¢·146.6 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $95 · WR 87.7%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 93¢·65.6 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $61 · WR 88.2%
Showing top 10 of 40
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