Geopolitics328 days left

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by September 30, 2027?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

64¢

64% implied

NO Price

36¢

36% implied

Volume

$6.2K

186 trades

Smart Whales

11

of 80 traders · 1 on both sides

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

14 MARKETS · $4.65M MATCHED

Smart Money

by December 31, 2026

14¢+24¢$3.29M103/167

by December 31, 2026+24¢14¢

by March 31, 2027

36¢+16¢$359.8K27/25

by March 31, 2027+16¢36¢

by June 30, 2027

52¢−1¢$184.5K28/27

by June 30, 2027−1¢52¢

by April 30, 2027

42¢+5¢$82.8K7/8

by April 30, 2027+5¢42¢

by May 31, 2027

51¢−10¢$132.2K14/20

by May 31, 2027−10¢51¢

by October 31, 2027

64¢+17¢$73.0K13/3

by October 31, 2027+17¢64¢

by July 31, 2027

59¢−6¢$6.3K8/7

by July 31, 2027−6¢59¢

by September 30, 2027←

64¢−14¢$6.2K6/6

by September 30, 2027←−14¢64¢

by December 31, 2027

70¢−8¢$58.9K24/15

by December 31, 2027−8¢70¢

by August 31, 2027

64¢−44¢$14.8K2/8

by August 31, 2027−44¢64¢

by November 30, 2027

68¢−10¢$8.6K11/8

by November 30, 2027−10¢68¢

by January 31, 2027

24¢+11¢$197.7K24/44

by January 31, 2027+11¢24¢

by February 28, 2027

30¢+4¢$43.6K13/25

by February 28, 2027+4¢30¢

by November 30, 2026

5¢+9¢$188.7K12/73

by November 30, 2026+9¢5¢

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Smart Money Consensus

6 YESvs6 NO

50%50%

50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 3 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowYES momentum 61%

+2 new YES$159+1 new NO$102

1 smart whale1 smart whale

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

$14 of $629 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $604·NO $11

YES Team

Total Invested

$731

Avg Win Rate

64.6%

Aggregate P&L

+$20(+2.8%)

Whales

6

StupidMonkeyyy🥇hedged

Entry 66¢·376 shares·also $7 on NO

$-10INV $247 · WR 59.6%

Entry 59¢·315.9 shares

+$14INV $186 · WR 71.9%

GenaTheBondKilIerProven🥉

Entry 58¢·207 shares

+$11INV $120 · WR 55.9%

Tenebrus7Proven

Entry 62¢·190.7 shares

+$3INV $118 · WR 74.3%

Entry 62¢·77.3 shares

+$1INV $48 · WR 61.5%

bakayo33 - 9934

Entry 58¢·20 shares

+$1INV $12 · WR 60.4%

NO Team

Total Invested

$118

Avg Win Rate

58.7%

Aggregate P&L

-$4(-3.7%)

Whales

6

Glaring-Pain🥇

Entry 38¢·263.3 shares

$-4INV $100 · WR 58.2%

Entry 41¢·20 shares

$-1INV $8 · WR 60.9%

StupidMonkeyyy🥉hedged

Entry 36¢·20 shares·also $247 on YES

+$0INV $7 · WR 59.6%

Entry 37¢·5 shares

—INV $2 · WR 63.9%

Entry 40¢·2.7 shares

$-0INV $1 · WR 75.1%

Entry 11¢·0.9 shares

+$0INV $0 · WR 71.9%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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