Geopolitics414 days left
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?
YES Price
66¢
66% implied
NO Price
34¢
34% implied
Volume
$4.3K
203 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 55 traders
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
15 MARKETS · $5.42M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs8 NO
39%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 10% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 69%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$116+8 new NO$63
$35 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $404 is directional: YES $40·NO $364YES Team
Total Invested
$95
Avg Win Rate
70.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$38(+40.1%)
Whales
5
G
Gluckyklucky🥇hedged
Entry 37¢·88 shares·also $47 on NO
Invested
$33
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $33 · WR 81.5%
Z
Zasmes🥈
Entry 67¢·35 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
—
—INV $23 · WR 65.6%
H
hithitfar🥉hedged
Entry 42¢·53.1 shares·also $33 on NO
Invested
$22
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $22 · WR 59.7%
P
Possible-Photo
Entry 67¢·14.9 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
—
—INV $10 · WR 72.7%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 69¢·9.5 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $7 · WR 68.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$494
Avg Win Rate
64.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$45(-9.2%)
Whales
8
N
newnewuser🥇
Entry 33¢·1,021 shares
Invested
$337
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $337 · WR 61.7%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 50¢·100.1 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $50 · WR 72.2%
G
Gluckyklucky🥉hedged
Entry 75¢·62.9 shares·also $33 on YES
Invested
$47
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $47 · WR 81.5%
H
hithitfarhedged
Entry 62¢·53.1 shares·also $22 on YES
Invested
$33
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $33 · WR 59.7%
M
Malganis
Entry 33¢·50 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
—
—INV $17 · WR 75.0%
B
0xbd848c80...
Entry 36¢·13.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 57.8%
M
Minecraftboy22
Entry 27¢·18.5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 59.0%
B
badatthis
Entry 32¢·3.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 64.0%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 665ms