Economics79 days left
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$207.9K
2,674 trades
Smart Whales
87
of 376 traders
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
14 MARKETS · $6.65M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+18¢$154.5K14/64Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026+18¢0¢
$154.5K14/64
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026
0¢+17¢$152.1K14/69Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026+17¢0¢
$152.1K14/69
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026
0¢+21¢$154.5K15/58Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026+21¢0¢
$154.5K15/58
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+10¢$94.4K7/61Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026+10¢0¢
$94.4K7/61
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026
0¢+25¢$181.2K26/79Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026+25¢0¢
$181.2K26/79
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026
0¢+14¢$70.6K11/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026+14¢0¢
$70.6K11/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026
0¢+18¢$500.9K15/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026+18¢0¢
$500.9K15/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+14¢$87.4K12/71Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026+14¢0¢
$87.4K12/71
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026←
2¢+14¢$207.9K14/72Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026←+14¢2¢
$207.9K14/72
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026
1¢+33¢$539.6K58/113Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026+33¢1¢
$539.6K58/113
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026
18¢+17¢$1.38M58/108Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026+17¢18¢
$1.38M58/108
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026
68¢−51¢$446.2K18/88Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026−51¢68¢
$446.2K18/88
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs73 NO
16%84%
84% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 8% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%
+2 new YES$0+3 new NO$25
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.2K is directional: YES $97·NO $1.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$221
Avg Win Rate
66.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$152(-68.9%)
Whales
14
B
Bikesarethebest◆Proven🥇
Entry 25¢·308 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-73
$-73INV $78 · WR 56.3%
B
Blond-Ruling🥈
Entry 10¢·401 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
67.9%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $41 · WR 67.9%
L
LA17🥉
Entry 9¢·444.4 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
82.5%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $40 · WR 82.5%
S
Sardonic-Cue◆Proven
Entry 5¢·200.7 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $9 · WR 79.2%
G
GTOrski1
Entry 15¢·24.9 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $4 · WR 72.0%
T
TerranSupremacy
Entry 16¢·12.9 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 67.2%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 2¢·49.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 68.2%
A
Anon321321321
Entry 6¢·4.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 85.0%
Q
quiddy
Entry 0¢·23.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 76.3%
P
PollyForge
Entry 0¢·33 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 84.8%
Showing top 10 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$9.0K
Avg Win Rate
80.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.8K(+64.7%)
Whales
73
I
influenz.eth🥇
Entry 60¢·2,420.7 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$941
+$941INV $1.4K · WR 85.8%
N
newnewuser🥈
Entry 92¢·916.6 shares
Invested
$845
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$58
+$58INV $845 · WR 61.7%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 88¢·889.8 shares
Invested
$781
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$95
+$95INV $781 · WR 72.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 92¢·445 shares
Invested
$410
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $410 · WR 86.0%
E
e46m3
Entry 95¢·355.9 shares
Invested
$339
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $339 · WR 79.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 90¢·318.2 shares
Invested
$287
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $287 · WR 88.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 93¢·279 shares
Invested
$258
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $258 · WR 89.3%
R
rated
Entry 74¢·344 shares
Invested
$254
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$85
+$85INV $254 · WR 87.7%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 10¢·2,343.3 shares
Invested
$242
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$2066
+$2066INV $242 · WR 84.8%
E
EdwardLewis
Entry 34¢·696.8 shares
Invested
$236
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$450
+$450INV $236 · WR 89.0%
Showing top 10 of 73
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 740ms