Economics80 days left
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$500.9K
2,868 trades
Smart Whales
86
of 638 traders
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
14 MARKETS · $6.65M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+18¢$154.5K14/64Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026+18¢0¢
$154.5K14/64
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026
0¢+17¢$152.1K14/69Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026+17¢0¢
$152.1K14/69
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026
0¢+21¢$154.5K15/58Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026+21¢0¢
$154.5K15/58
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+10¢$94.4K7/61Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026+10¢0¢
$94.4K7/61
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026
0¢+25¢$181.2K26/79Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026+25¢0¢
$181.2K26/79
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026
0¢+14¢$70.6K11/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026+14¢0¢
$70.6K11/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026←
0¢+18¢$500.9K15/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026←+18¢0¢
$500.9K15/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+14¢$87.4K12/71Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026+14¢0¢
$87.4K12/71
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026
2¢+14¢$207.9K14/72Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026+14¢2¢
$207.9K14/72
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026
1¢+33¢$539.6K58/113Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026+33¢1¢
$539.6K58/113
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026
18¢+17¢$1.38M58/108Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026+17¢18¢
$1.38M58/108
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026
51¢−34¢$446.2K18/88Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026−34¢51¢
$446.2K18/88
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Smart Money Consensus
23 YESvs63 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 86% YES by dollars · 16 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%
+3 new YES$0+3 new NO$25
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $85 is directional: YES $73·NO $12YES Team
Total Invested
$86
Avg Win Rate
70.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$62(-72.2%)
Whales
23
P
puravida🥇
Entry 3¢·1,073.9 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $37 · WR 59.9%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 7¢·172.6 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $11 · WR 87.7%
S
Sardonic-Cue◆Proven🥉
Entry 0¢·2,195.9 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 79.2%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 7¢·55.4 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 84.8%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 7¢·50 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 88.1%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 14¢·20.9 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 68.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 7¢·37.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 72.2%
E
EdwardLewis
Entry 5¢·31.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 89.0%
P
pako
Entry 28¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 68.3%
C
Crypto-Well
Entry 0¢·527.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 56.5%
Showing top 10 of 23
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.1K
Avg Win Rate
83.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$9.1K(+150.3%)
Whales
63
I
influenz.eth🥇
Entry 65¢·2,316.7 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$805
+$805INV $1.5K · WR 85.8%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈
Entry 46¢·1,056.5 shares
Invested
$485
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$568
+$568INV $485 · WR 57.7%
I
i18z🥉
Entry 96¢·339.3 shares
Invested
$325
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $325 · WR 87.1%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 97¢·320 shares
Invested
$309
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $309 · WR 89.3%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 98¢·308 shares
Invested
$301
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $301 · WR 88.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 98¢·271 shares
Invested
$266
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $266 · WR 86.0%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 99¢·239.7 shares
Invested
$237
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $237 · WR 85.9%
N
nashyy43
Entry 95¢·224.7 shares
Invested
$213
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $213 · WR 87.5%
N
northdrawer
Entry 98¢·210 shares
Invested
$206
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $206 · WR 87.7%
S
Scornful-Conductor
Entry 48¢·396.2 shares
Invested
$190
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$206
+$206INV $190 · WR 86.7%
Showing top 10 of 63
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