Economics80 days left
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$181.2K
2,098 trades
Smart Whales
106
of 406 traders
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
14 MARKETS · $6.65M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+18¢$154.5K14/64Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026+18¢0¢
$154.5K14/64
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026
0¢+17¢$152.1K14/69Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026+17¢0¢
$152.1K14/69
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026
0¢+21¢$154.5K15/58Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026+21¢0¢
$154.5K15/58
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+10¢$94.4K7/61Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026+10¢0¢
$94.4K7/61
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026←
0¢+25¢$181.2K26/79Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026←+25¢0¢
$181.2K26/79
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026
0¢+14¢$70.6K11/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026+14¢0¢
$70.6K11/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026
0¢+18¢$500.9K15/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026+18¢0¢
$500.9K15/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+14¢$87.4K12/71Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026+14¢0¢
$87.4K12/71
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026
2¢+14¢$207.9K14/72Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026+14¢2¢
$207.9K14/72
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026
1¢+33¢$539.6K58/113Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026+33¢1¢
$539.6K58/113
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026
18¢+17¢$1.38M58/108Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026+17¢18¢
$1.38M58/108
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026
67¢−50¢$446.2K18/88Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026−50¢67¢
$446.2K18/88
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Smart Money Consensus
26 YESvs80 NO
25%76%
76% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 15% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+2 new YES$0+3 new NO$25
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $42 is directional: YES $6·NO $35YES Team
Total Invested
$7.1K
Avg Win Rate
73.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$6.6K(-93.2%)
Whales
26
S
stomach114🥇hedged
Entry 96¢·2,255 shares·also $81 on NO
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-2162
$-2162INV $2.2K · WR 68.8%
A
anchor-medal🥈hedged
Entry 96¢·1,363 shares·also $46 on NO
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-1309
$-1309INV $1.3K · WR 75.0%
L
lizardRebuild🥉hedged
Entry 96¢·1,247 shares·also $42 on NO
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
$-1198
$-1198INV $1.2K · WR 70.0%
P
pull6562hedged
Entry 96¢·1,085 shares·also $37 on NO
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
$-1042
$-1042INV $1.0K · WR 81.3%
M
melt-kingdomhedged
Entry 96¢·579 shares·also $21 on NO
Invested
$554
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
$-553
$-553INV $554 · WR 77.3%
D
dawn-plunge-flashhedged
Entry 3¢·1,643 shares·also $1.6K on NO
Invested
$56
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-52
$-52INV $56 · WR 87.5%
C
customow19hedged
Entry 4¢·1,539 shares·also $1.5K on NO
Invested
$55
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-52
$-52INV $55 · WR 88.2%
P
pluck14hedged
Entry 3¢·1,461 shares·also $1.4K on NO
Invested
$50
Win Rate
82.4%
Position P&L
$-46
$-46INV $50 · WR 82.4%
V
verb-timehedged
Entry 4¢·1,329 shares·also $1.3K on NO
Invested
$48
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $48 · WR 71.4%
W
wayShadowhedged
Entry 3¢·1,285 shares·also $1.2K on NO
Invested
$44
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $44 · WR 80.0%
Showing top 10 of 26
NO Team
Total Invested
$17.4K
Avg Win Rate
79.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$11.4K(+65.2%)
Whales
80
D
dawn-plunge-flash🥇hedged
Entry 96¢·1,643 shares·also $56 on YES
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$57
+$57INV $1.6K · WR 87.5%
C
customow19🥈hedged
Entry 96¢·1,539 shares·also $55 on YES
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $1.5K · WR 88.2%
P
pluck14🥉hedged
Entry 96¢·1,462 shares·also $50 on YES
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
82.4%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $1.4K · WR 82.4%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 59¢·2,314.9 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$949
+$949INV $1.4K · WR 85.8%
V
verb-timehedged
Entry 96¢·1,329 shares·also $48 on YES
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $1.3K · WR 71.4%
W
wayShadowhedged
Entry 96¢·1,285 shares·also $44 on YES
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $1.2K · WR 80.0%
C
crisp415hedged
Entry 96¢·1,217 shares·also $41 on YES
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
78.9%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $1.2K · WR 78.9%
C
correct-relyhedged
Entry 96¢·1,055 shares·also $36 on YES
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $1.0K · WR 63.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 100¢·890 shares
Invested
$886
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $886 · WR 72.2%
S
stomach114hedged
Entry 4¢·2,255 shares·also $2.2K on YES
Invested
$81
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
+$2168
+$2168INV $81 · WR 68.8%
Showing top 10 of 80
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