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Economics79 days left

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$94.5K
1,803 trades
Smart Whales
69
of 287 traders · 1 on both sides

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

14 MARKETS · $6.65M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

15 YESvs55 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 54% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 4 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%
+2 new YES$1+0 new NO$0
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $82 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $44·NO $37
YES Team
Total Invested
$48
Avg Win Rate
81.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$42(-88.3%)
Whales
15
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 7¢·244.4 shares
$-16INV $16 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 7¢·179.9 shares
$-12INV $12 · WR 72.2%
N
NoMoreMister🥉
Entry 7¢·65.3 shares
$-4INV $5 · WR 88.4%
T
Tee1000
Entry 7¢·40 shares
$-3INV $3 · WR 81.8%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 7¢·25 shares
$-2INV $2 · WR 88.1%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 5¢·30.3 shares
$-1INV $2 · WR 84.9%
E
EdwardLewis
Entry 5¢·31.8 shares
$-1INV $2 · WR 89.0%
T
Tysha
Entry 4¢·25.2 shares
$-1INV $1 · WR 89.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 7¢·13.2 shares
$-1INV $1 · WR 79.6%
P
PolyJaguar
Entry 0¢·195 shares
$-0INV $1 · WR 57.5%
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Smart money 21% YES: the upper bound of the target federal…