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EconomicsResolved57 days left

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$248.6K
6,571 trades
Smart Whales
70
of 458 traders · 1 on both sides

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

15 MARKETS · $6.90M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

7 YESvs64 NO
10%90%
90% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 85% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 2 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$0+6 new NO$47
$0 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $12 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $9·NO $2
YES Team
Total Invested
$10
Avg Win Rate
77.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-43.4%)
Whales
7
S
Sardonic-CueProven🥇
Entry 0¢·2,038.7 shares
+$1INV $4 · WR 79.2%
T
Tee1000🥈
Entry 7¢·40 shares
$-3INV $3 · WR 81.8%
T
Tysha🥉
Entry 4¢·25.2 shares
$-1INV $1 · WR 89.2%
P
PolyJaguar
Entry 1¢·100 shares
$-0INV $1 · WR 57.5%
R
Radiant-Nonbelieverhedged
Entry 7¢·10 shares·also $1 on NO
$-1INV $1 · WR 59.6%
J
JoE
Entry 7¢·9 shares
$-1INV $1 · WR 76.3%
Q
quiddy
Entry 0¢·13.9 shares
+$0INV $0 · WR 76.3%

Smart Whale Trades

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Smart money 18% YES: the upper bound of the target federal…