Economics80 days left
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$154.5K
6,146 trades
Smart Whales
73
of 350 traders · 1 on both sides
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
14 MARKETS · $6.65M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+18¢$154.5K14/64Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026+18¢0¢
$154.5K14/64
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026
0¢+17¢$152.1K14/69Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026+17¢0¢
$152.1K14/69
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026←
0¢+21¢$154.5K15/58Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026←+21¢0¢
$154.5K15/58
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+10¢$94.4K7/61Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026+10¢0¢
$94.4K7/61
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026
0¢+25¢$181.2K26/79Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026+25¢0¢
$181.2K26/79
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026
0¢+14¢$70.6K11/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026+14¢0¢
$70.6K11/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026
0¢+18¢$500.9K15/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026+18¢0¢
$500.9K15/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+14¢$87.4K12/71Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026+14¢0¢
$87.4K12/71
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026
2¢+14¢$208.0K14/72Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026+14¢2¢
$208.0K14/72
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026
1¢+33¢$539.6K58/113Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026+33¢1¢
$539.6K58/113
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026
18¢+17¢$1.38M58/108Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026+17¢18¢
$1.38M58/108
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026
51¢−34¢$446.2K18/88Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026−34¢51¢
$446.2K18/88
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Smart Money Consensus
15 YESvs59 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 91% YES by dollars · 12 YES vs 4 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$1+5 new NO$52
$0 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $57 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $50·NO $5YES Team
Total Invested
$708
Avg Win Rate
72.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$696(-98.3%)
Whales
15
N
nisicumquexzy🥇
Entry 99¢·662 shares
Invested
$657
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
$-655
$-655INV $657 · WR 71.4%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 7¢·318.7 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $21 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 7¢·200.2 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $13 · WR 72.2%
S
Sardonic-Cue◆Proven
Entry 0¢·2,093.8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $4 · WR 79.2%
T
Tee1000
Entry 7¢·40 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 81.8%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 7¢·25 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 88.1%
P
PolyJaguar
Entry 0¢·493.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 57.5%
E
EdwardLewis
Entry 5¢·31.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 89.0%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 5¢·30.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 84.9%
T
Tysha
Entry 4¢·25.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 89.2%
Showing top 10 of 15
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.0K
Avg Win Rate
79.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.9K(+98.2%)
Whales
59
I
influenz.eth🥇
Entry 51¢·2,364 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1160
+$1160INV $1.2K · WR 85.8%
V
voluptasenimru🥈
Entry 99¢·711.4 shares
Invested
$706
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $706 · WR 63.6%
L
LaboriosamSitbro🥉
Entry 99¢·694.8 shares
Invested
$689
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $689 · WR 60.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 100¢·390 shares
Invested
$388
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $388 · WR 88.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 100¢·239.7 shares
Invested
$239
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $239 · WR 85.9%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 100¢·226 shares
Invested
$226
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $226 · WR 88.7%
N
nashyy43
Entry 100¢·224.7 shares
Invested
$224
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $224 · WR 87.5%
N
northdrawer
Entry 100¢·210 shares
Invested
$209
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $209 · WR 87.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 100¢·209 shares
Invested
$208
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $208 · WR 89.3%
S
Scornful-Conductor
Entry 100¢·183 shares
Invested
$182
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $182 · WR 86.7%
Showing top 10 of 59
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