Economics81 days left
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$152.1K
1,809 trades
Smart Whales
83
of 309 traders · 1 on both sides
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
14 MARKETS · $6.65M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+18¢$154.5K14/64Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026+18¢0¢
$154.5K14/64
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026←
0¢+17¢$152.1K14/69Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026←+17¢0¢
$152.1K14/69
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026
0¢+21¢$154.5K15/58Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026+21¢0¢
$154.5K15/58
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+10¢$94.4K7/61Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026+10¢0¢
$94.4K7/61
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026
0¢+25¢$181.2K26/79Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026+25¢0¢
$181.2K26/79
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026
0¢+14¢$70.6K11/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026+14¢0¢
$70.6K11/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026
0¢+18¢$500.9K15/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026+18¢0¢
$500.9K15/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+14¢$87.4K12/71Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026+14¢0¢
$87.4K12/71
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026
2¢+14¢$207.9K14/72Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026+14¢2¢
$207.9K14/72
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026
1¢+33¢$539.6K58/113Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026+33¢1¢
$539.6K58/113
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026
19¢+16¢$1.38M58/108Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026+16¢19¢
$1.38M58/108
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026
67¢−50¢$446.2K18/88Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026−50¢67¢
$446.2K18/88
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Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs70 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 65% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 2 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+1 new YES$0+3 new NO$25
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $6 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $3·NO $2YES Team
Total Invested
$2.9K
Avg Win Rate
77.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.9K(-99.6%)
Whales
14
T
type50🥇hedged
Entry 99¢·1,748 shares·also $17 on NO
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
$-1725
$-1725INV $1.7K · WR 77.3%
R
relief-usage🥈hedged
Entry 99¢·833 shares·also $10 on NO
Invested
$823
Win Rate
78.9%
Position P&L
$-822
$-822INV $823 · WR 78.9%
A
apology-draw🥉hedged
Entry 99¢·269 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$266
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
$-266
$-266INV $266 · WR 80.0%
P
pondJuniorhedged
Entry 1¢·1,555 shares·also $1.5K on NO
Invested
$19
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $19 · WR 77.8%
D
divorcevu87hedged
Entry 1¢·1,589 shares·also $1.6K on NO
Invested
$16
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $16 · WR 80.0%
B
Burgerxj47hedged
Entry 1¢·1,453 shares·also $1.4K on NO
Invested
$15
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $15 · WR 71.4%
B
base44hedged
Entry 1¢·924 shares·also $913 on NO
Invested
$9
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $9 · WR 61.9%
T
Tysha
Entry 4¢·25.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 89.2%
O
Oceangiraffe
Entry 1¢·76 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 83.3%
R
Radiant-Nonbelieverhedged
Entry 7¢·10 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 59.6%
Showing top 10 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$12.4K
Avg Win Rate
77.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$8.1K(+65.9%)
Whales
70
D
divorcevu87🥇hedged
Entry 99¢·1,589 shares·also $16 on YES
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $1.6K · WR 80.0%
P
pondJunior🥈hedged
Entry 99¢·1,555 shares·also $19 on YES
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $1.5K · WR 77.8%
B
Burgerxj47🥉hedged
Entry 99¢·1,453 shares·also $15 on YES
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $1.4K · WR 71.4%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 49¢·2,309.9 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1165
+$1165INV $1.1K · WR 85.8%
B
base44hedged
Entry 99¢·924 shares·also $9 on YES
Invested
$913
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $913 · WR 61.9%
B
balthazar
Entry 100¢·575 shares
Invested
$573
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $573 · WR 72.2%
I
i18z
Entry 100¢·369.9 shares
Invested
$369
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $369 · WR 87.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 100¢·361 shares
Invested
$360
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $360 · WR 88.2%
R
rated
Entry 100¢·319 shares
Invested
$318
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $318 · WR 87.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 100¢·264 shares
Invested
$263
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $263 · WR 87.7%
Showing top 10 of 70
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