Economics80 days left
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$154.5K
6,228 trades
Smart Whales
77
of 374 traders · 2 on both sides
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
14 MARKETS · $6.65M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026←
0¢+18¢$154.5K14/64Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026←+18¢0¢
$154.5K14/64
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026
0¢+17¢$152.1K14/69Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026+17¢0¢
$152.1K14/69
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026
0¢+21¢$154.5K15/58Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026+21¢0¢
$154.5K15/58
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+10¢$94.4K7/61Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026+10¢0¢
$94.4K7/61
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026
0¢+25¢$181.2K26/79Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026+25¢0¢
$181.2K26/79
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026
0¢+14¢$70.6K11/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026+14¢0¢
$70.6K11/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026
0¢+18¢$500.9K15/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026+18¢0¢
$500.9K15/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+14¢$87.4K12/71Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026+14¢0¢
$87.4K12/71
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026
2¢+14¢$207.9K14/72Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026+14¢2¢
$207.9K14/72
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026
1¢+33¢$539.6K58/113Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026+33¢1¢
$539.6K58/113
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026
18¢+17¢$1.38M58/108Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026+17¢18¢
$1.38M58/108
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026
68¢−51¢$446.2K18/88Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026−51¢68¢
$446.2K18/88
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Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs65 NO
18%82%
82% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 93% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 3 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$0+5 new NO$43
$0 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$3 of $83 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $75·NO $6YES Team
Total Invested
$148
Avg Win Rate
58.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$67(-45.0%)
Whales
14
P
PolyJaguar🥇
Entry 3¢·2,583.8 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-64
$-64INV $73 · WR 57.5%
T
Tysha🥈
Entry 4¢·25.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 89.2%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever🥉hedged
Entry 7¢·10 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 59.6%
J
JoEhedged
Entry 7¢·9 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 76.3%
A
Anon321321321
Entry 6¢·4.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 85.0%
E
0xe6bd5847...
Entry 7¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 89.1%
N
nrnn
Entry 0¢·10 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 88.2%
Q
quiddy
Entry 0¢·23.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 76.3%
Showing top 8 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$8.7K
Avg Win Rate
80.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.9K(+56.8%)
Whales
65
I
influenz.eth🥇
Entry 58¢·2,381 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$995
+$995INV $1.4K · WR 85.8%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈
Entry 98¢·1,157.1 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $1.1K · WR 57.7%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 86¢·1,023.4 shares
Invested
$882
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$137
+$137INV $882 · WR 72.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 69¢·537.7 shares
Invested
$372
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$164
+$164INV $372 · WR 79.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 99¢·327 shares
Invested
$325
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $325 · WR 88.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 99¢·327 shares
Invested
$325
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $325 · WR 89.3%
R
rated
Entry 99¢·319.3 shares
Invested
$317
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $317 · WR 87.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 100¢·299 shares
Invested
$298
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $298 · WR 87.7%
S
Scornful-Conductor
Entry 94¢·293 shares
Invested
$275
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $275 · WR 86.7%
E
EdwardLewis
Entry 49¢·554.4 shares
Invested
$272
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$280
+$280INV $272 · WR 89.0%
Showing top 10 of 65
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