Economics80 days left
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$260.2K
8,768 trades
Smart Whales
129
of 435 traders · 1 on both sides
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
14 MARKETS · $6.65M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+18¢$154.5K14/64Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026+18¢0¢
$154.5K14/64
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026
0¢+17¢$152.1K14/69Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026+17¢0¢
$152.1K14/69
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026
0¢+21¢$154.5K15/58Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026+21¢0¢
$154.5K15/58
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+10¢$94.4K7/61Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026+10¢0¢
$94.4K7/61
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026
0¢+25¢$181.2K26/79Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026+25¢0¢
$181.2K26/79
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026
0¢+14¢$70.6K11/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026+14¢0¢
$70.6K11/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026
0¢+18¢$500.9K15/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026+18¢0¢
$500.9K15/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+14¢$87.4K12/71Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026+14¢0¢
$87.4K12/71
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026
2¢+14¢$207.9K14/72Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026+14¢2¢
$207.9K14/72
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026
1¢+33¢$539.6K58/113Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026+33¢1¢
$539.6K58/113
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026
19¢+16¢$1.38M58/108Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026+16¢19¢
$1.38M58/108
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026
67¢−50¢$446.2K18/88Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026−50¢67¢
$446.2K18/88
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Smart Money Consensus
44 YESvs86 NO
34%66%
66% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 28% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 4 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$1+5 new NO$227
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $52 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $14·NO $36YES Team
Total Invested
$10.1K
Avg Win Rate
75.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$7.4K(-73.2%)
Whales
44
B
Bridge.Increase.Pony🥇hedged
Entry 97¢·1,801 shares·also $61 on NO
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-1743
$-1743INV $1.7K · WR 88.9%
M
mansionki32🥈hedged
Entry 98¢·1,447 shares·also $23 on NO
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-1414
$-1414INV $1.4K · WR 68.2%
G
genre-sword🥉hedged
Entry 96¢·1,178 shares·also $40 on NO
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-1132
$-1132INV $1.1K · WR 57.9%
R
roundzn77hedged
Entry 97¢·1,110.6 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
78.9%
Position P&L
$-1078
$-1078INV $1.1K · WR 78.9%
R
Regretuz81hedged
Entry 98¢·1,055 shares·also $21 on NO
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
$-1028
$-1028INV $1.0K · WR 81.0%
M
moment825hedged
Entry 97¢·861 shares·also $26 on NO
Invested
$835
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
$-832
$-832INV $835 · WR 68.0%
H
humanqo59hedged
Entry 3¢·1,968.8 shares·also $1.9K on NO
Invested
$58
Win Rate
78.9%
Position P&L
$-51
$-51INV $58 · WR 78.9%
M
Mosquito1127hedged
Entry 3¢·1,080 shares·also $1.1K on NO
Invested
$28
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $28 · WR 57.1%
L
like-responsehedged
Entry 3¢·922 shares·also $890 on NO
Invested
$28
Win Rate
70.8%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $28 · WR 70.8%
J
jump800hedged
Entry 2¢·1,642 shares·also $1.6K on NO
Invested
$26
Win Rate
76.5%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $26 · WR 76.5%
Showing top 10 of 44
NO Team
Total Invested
$21.8K
Avg Win Rate
75.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$9.8K(+44.8%)
Whales
86
I
influenz.eth🥇
Entry 98¢·2,000.7 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $2.0K · WR 85.8%
H
humanqo59🥈hedged
Entry 97¢·1,968.8 shares·also $58 on YES
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
78.9%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $1.9K · WR 78.9%
J
jump800🥉hedged
Entry 98¢·1,642 shares·also $26 on YES
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
76.5%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $1.6K · WR 76.5%
G
generalcq17hedged
Entry 98¢·1,603 shares·also $24 on YES
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
76.5%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $1.6K · WR 76.5%
M
Mosquito1127hedged
Entry 98¢·1,080 shares·also $28 on YES
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $1.1K · WR 57.1%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 96¢·1,056.5 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $1.0K · WR 57.7%
E
emergeGreenhedged
Entry 98¢·976 shares·also $16 on YES
Invested
$956
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $956 · WR 85.7%
P
printal91hedged
Entry 98¢·963 shares·also $20 on YES
Invested
$942
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $942 · WR 81.0%
L
like-responsehedged
Entry 97¢·922 shares·also $28 on YES
Invested
$890
Win Rate
70.8%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $890 · WR 70.8%
B
balthazar
Entry 100¢·890.7 shares
Invested
$888
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $888 · WR 72.2%
Showing top 10 of 86
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